The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Castrumfavara 40.1%
Draw 30.1%
Acireale 29.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.8%
31.2%
29%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.4%
30%
27.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Castrumfavara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
Acireale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castrumfavara than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Acireale than the current prediction. (-2%)
Castrumfavara - Acireale Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Cozza W. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
62', 1 - 1, Varela I. ⚽,
Preview
This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group I (Play Out: ) and 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Group I (Play Out: )).
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Acireale may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Castrumfavara will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Castrumfavara won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
Including home match between the teams, Castrumfavara won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.