Match Info
SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 14 - ROUND 28Date: 28 March 2024, Thursday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Castuera |
|
Calamonte |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.25 |
3 |
2.85 |
|
 |
2.25 |
3.1 |
3 |
|
 |
2.35 |
2.9 |
2.98 |
|
 |
2.35 |
2.86 |
2.98 |
|
 |
2.29 |
3.1 |
2.97 |
|
 |
2.25 |
3.1 |
3 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.29 ↑
(2.27) |
3.01 ↓
(3.1) |
2.96 ↑
(2.94) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Castuera
39.5% | Draw
30% | Calamonte
30.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Castuera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)Calamonte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castuera than the current prediction. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Calamonte than the current prediction. (-0.7%) 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 9', 1 - 0, Ligero J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 54', 1 - 1, Moreno Barrena C. ⚽,
- 58', 2 - 1, Diawara A. ⚽,
- 63', 3 - 1, Diawara A. ⚽,
Preview
The two neighboring teams will play in the exciting match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 14 (Play Offs: ) and 7). Recent matches Castuera is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2). Calamonte is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3). The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Castuera won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-4.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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