Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 13

Date: 7 December 2025, Sunday


	Calamonte		Moralo

	1	X	2
	3.35	3.1	2.02
	3.53	3.08	2.1
	3.49	3.09	2.1
	3.43	3.06	2.07
	3.5	3	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.46 ↓ (3.5)	3.07 ↑ (3.03)	2.07 ↓ (2.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Calamonte
26.3%

Draw
29.7%

Moralo
43.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.1%

30.2%

43.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.4%

28.8%

41.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Calamonte has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Moralo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Calamonte than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moralo than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Calamonte - Moralo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
67', 0 - 1, ⚽,
90+8', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Calamonte won 3.

Calamonte has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Moralo has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Moralo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Moralo might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Calamonte won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:19. (average 1.1:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Calamonte won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Calamonte
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
23.11.25	Diocesano - Calamonte	1:1 ✺
16.11.25	Calamonte - Villafranca	2:2 ✺
09.11.25	Don Benito - Calamonte	2:0 ✺
02.11.25	Calamonte - Santa Amalia	1:2 ✺
26.10.25	Azuaga - Calamonte	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TTLLL
- Moralo CP
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
22.11.25	Moralo - Puebla de la Calzada	1:1 ✺
16.11.25	Jaraíz - Moralo	3:0 ✺
02.11.25	Villanovense - Moralo	0:1 ✺
26.10.25	Moralo - Cabeza del Buey	1:3 ✺
19.10.25	Llerenense - Moralo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 TLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
16.03.25	Calamonte - Moralo	1:2
03.11.24	Moralo - Calamonte	1:2
24.03.24	Calamonte - Moralo	3:1
05.11.23	Moralo - Calamonte	3:0
15.04.23	Moralo - Calamonte	1:2
17.12.22	Calamonte - Moralo	1:1
13.03.22	Calamonte - Moralo	0:0

Calamonte - Moralo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide