Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 34

Date: 11 May 2025, Sunday


	Arroyo		Calamonte

	1	X	2
	2.95	3.2	2.1
	3.05	3.2	2.17
	3.01	3.18	2.12
	3.06	3.29	2.19	Watch
	3.04	3.38	2.11
	3.05	3.2	2.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.03 ↓ (3.04)	3.24 ↑ (3.22)	2.14 ↓ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arroyo
29.9%

Draw
27.9%

Calamonte
42.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.8%

28.1%

42.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33%

25.4%

38%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arroyo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Calamonte has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arroyo than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Calamonte than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Arroyo - Calamonte Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Cortes Gallego K. ⚽,
13', 2 - 0, Vizcaino I. N. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
53', 2 - 1, Aruna G. ⚽,
71', 2 - 2, ⚽,
84', 🟥,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arroyo won 1.

Arroyo is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Calamonte is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Calamonte will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Arroyo won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:14. (average 0.7:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Arroyo won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.5:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arroyo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
04.05.25	Montijo - Arroyo	1:0 ✺
27.04.25	Arroyo - Villafranca	1:4 ✺
17.04.25	Moralo - Arroyo	5:0 ✺
13.04.25	Arroyo - Diocesano	1:2 ✺
06.04.25	Azuaga - Arroyo	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- CD Calamonte
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
04.05.25	Calamonte - Llerenense	0:1 ✺
27.04.25	Olivenza - Calamonte	0:5 ✺
17.04.25	Calamonte - Jerez	0:1 ✺
13.04.25	Santa Amalia - Calamonte	1:0 ✺
06.04.25	Badajoz - Calamonte	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
12.01.25	Calamonte - Arroyo	0:1
17.03.24	Arroyo - Calamonte	1:3
29.10.23	Calamonte - Arroyo	0:0
06.04.23	Calamonte - Arroyo	2:1
11.12.22	Arroyo - Calamonte	0:0
06.02.22	Calamonte - Arroyo	2:1
03.10.21	Arroyo - Calamonte	0:2

Arroyo - Calamonte: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide