Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 23Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday
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Jerez |
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Calamonte |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
1.49 |
3.75 |
5.9 |
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4.54 |
1.35 |
8.19 |
 Watch |
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1.53 |
3.4 |
6 |
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1.49 |
3.62 |
6.48 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.26 ↑
(1.57) |
3.03 ↓
(3.7) |
6.64 ↑
(5.09) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Jerez
47.9% | Draw
35.8% | Calamonte
16.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jerez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jerez's form might have worsened.Calamonte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jerez than the current prediction. (+14%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jerez, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Calamonte than the current prediction. (+0.3%)Jerez - Calamonte Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 9 and 16 in the zone Relegation).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jerez won 2.Jerez is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).In recent matches, Calamonte has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).Jerez may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.Recently, Jerez has had a series of away games. In this match, Jerez is the team to beat.We predict that Jerez will win today's game, with odds of 1.57.In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Jerez won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:10. (average 1.3:0.8).Including home matches between the teams, Jerez won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:5. (average 1.6:1).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 12 | Jerez CF | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 4 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14 | | | 12.10.25 | Calamonte - Jerez | 0:0 | | 17.04.25 | Calamonte - Jerez | 0:1 | | 08.12.24 | Jerez - Calamonte | 3:1 | | 03.03.24 | Jerez - Calamonte | 0:0 | | 15.10.23 | Calamonte - Jerez | 2:1 | | 22.01.23 | Calamonte - Jerez | 1:2 | | 18.09.22 | Jerez - Calamonte | 3:2 |
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