The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Castuera 65.3%
Draw 20.6%
Montehermoso 14.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
62.6%
22.8%
14.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
64.8%
22%
14.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Castuera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
Montehermoso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castuera than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
The ML Model estimate for Montehermoso aligns with the current prediction.
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
25', 1 - 0, Ligero J. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
54', 2 - 0, Abizanda G. ⚽,
59', 3 - 0, Perez A. ⚽,
78', 4 - 0, Gonzalez J. ⚽,
Preview
One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 14 (Play Offs: ) and 16 in the zone Relegation).
Recent matches Castuera is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Montehermoso is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Castuera could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Castuera is certain favorite.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Castuera won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.
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