Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 33

Date: 4 May 2025, Sunday


	Castuera		Trujillo

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.1	6
	1.42	4.3	6.2
	1.4	4.17	6.53
	1.41	4.15	6.7
	1.42	4.3	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.41)	4.2 ↓ (4.24)	6.33 ↓ (6.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Castuera
64.1%

Draw
21.6%

Trujillo
14.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.4%

21.5%

14.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.1%

20.3%

13.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Castuera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Trujillo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castuera than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trujillo than the current prediction. (-1%)

Castuera - Trujillo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
22', 1 - 0, Quintero J. ⚽,
43', 1 - 1, Silgado A. A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
70', 1 - 2, Manzano J. ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 15 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Recent performances by Castuera have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Trujillo has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Trujillo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Castuera is the clear favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Castuera won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.7:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, Castuera won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Castuera
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
27.04.25	Pueblonuevo - Castuera	1:2 ✺
17.04.25	Castuera - Puebla de la Calzada	1:2 ✺
11.04.25	CD Extremadura - Castuera	2:0 ✺
30.03.25	Arroyo - Castuera	2:2 ✺
21.03.25	Castuera - Llerenense	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.4 WLLTW
- CF Trujillo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
30.04.25	Puebla de la Calzada - Trujillo	2:0 ✺
27.04.25	Trujillo - Badajoz	0:0 ✺
20.04.25	Trujillo - Pueblonuevo	2:3 ✺
06.04.25	Trujillo - CD Extremadura	0:4 ✺
30.03.25	Jaraíz - Trujillo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
14.04.24	Castuera - Trujillo	2:1
26.11.23	Trujillo - Castuera	2:0
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
27.08.17	Trujillo - Castuera	2:0

Castuera - Trujillo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide