The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Jaraíz 37.6%
Draw 29.4%
Castuera 33%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.9%
29.7%
32.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Jaraíz have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
The chances for Castuera have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jaraíz than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castuera than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Fernandez J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
59', 1 - 1, Palma M. D. J. ⚽,
72', 2 - 1, Angelillo ⚽,
Preview
During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 8 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 14 (Play Offs: )).
Jaraíz is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Recent matches Castuera is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Jaraíz could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Jaraíz won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.
Including matches at home between the teams Jaraíz won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.