Match Info

Date: 12 December 2021, Sunday


	Catania		Palermo

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.1	2.45	Watch
	2.85	2.9	2.4
	2.85	2.9	2.37
	3.07	2.9	2.37
	2.9	2.9	2.37
	3.02	3.04	2.38	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.88 ↑ (2.66)	2.96 ↓ (3.09)	2.39 ↓ (2.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Catania
31.4%

Draw
30.6%

Palermo
37.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.2%

29.5%

36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.9%

21.5%

49.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Catania has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Palermo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Catania than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Catania that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palermo than the current prediction. (+11.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Palermo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Catania - Palermo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 12 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Group B (Play Offs)).

Recent matches Catania is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Palermo is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Catania could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Catania won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Catania won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Calcio Catania
Italian Serie C Group C
05.12.21	Latina - Catania	1:0 ✺
27.11.21	Catania - Potenza	2:1 ✺
21.11.21	Taranto - Catania	3:2 ✺
14.11.21	Catania - Foggia	1:2 ✺
10.11.21	Catania - Vibonese	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWLLW
- U.S. Città di Palermo
Italian Serie C Group C
05.12.21	Palermo - Monopoli	2:1 ✺
28.11.21	Picerno - Palermo	1:0 ✺
20.11.21	Palermo - Paganese	3:0 ✺
14.11.21	Palermo - Potenza	2:0 ✺
07.11.21	Fidelis Andria - Palermo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
03.03.21	Catania - Palermo	0:1
09.11.20	Palermo - Catania	1:1
Italian Serie A
21.04.13	Catania - Palermo	1:1
24.11.12	Palermo - Catania	3:1
28.04.12	Palermo - Catania	1:1

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