The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Latina 18.2%
Draw 29.3%
Catania 52.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
20.2%
27%
52.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
19.7%
26.4%
54.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Latina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
Catania has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Latina than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Catania than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
Latina - Catania Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
67. Mastrantonio D. (G) 32. Parodi G. 33. Carillo L. 13. Marenco F. 3. Porro M. 30. De Ciancio R. 5. Pellitteri A. 2. Ercolano E. 70. Tomaselli G. 77. Cioffi A. 97. Parigi G.
57. Dini A. (G) 24. Casasola T. 5. Miceli M. 68. Ierardi M. 3. Celli A. 47. Di Noia G. 14. Di Tacchio F. 23. Lunetta G. 7. Jimenez K. 99. D'Ausilio M. 17. Bruzzaniti G.
Substitutes
1. Basti M. (G) 6. Calabrese B. 19. Di Giovannantonio G. 18. Dutu E. 20. Fasan N. 21. Hergheligiu D. 22. Iosa A. (G) 36. Lipani J. 11. Pace F. 80. Quieto D. 10. Riccardi A. 4. Scravaglieri M. 9. Sylla Y.
6. Allegretto A. 1. Bethers K. (G) 29. Cargnelutti R. 18. Caturano S. 10. Cicerelli E. 30. Corbari A. 20. Donnarumma D. 73. Pieraccini S. 16. Quaini A. 19. Raimo A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
21', Ierardi M. 🟨,
27', Tomaselli G. 🟨,
35', Parodi G. ↓, Dutu E. ↑,
45+1', Bruzzaniti G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Jimenez K. ↓, Caturano S. ↑,
46', Ierardi M. ↓, Cargnelutti R. ↑,
63', Di Noia G. ↓, Corbari A. ↑,
65', 0 - 1, Bruzzaniti G. ⚽,
71', Porro M. ↓, Riccardi A. ↑,
71', Cioffi A. ↓, Fasan N. ↑,
73', Lunetta G. ↓, Cicerelli E. ↑,
76', De Ciancio R. 🟨,
84', Tomaselli G. ↓, Pace F. ↑,
84', Ercolano E. ↓, Sylla Y. ↑,
84', D'Ausilio M. ↓, Quaini A. ↑,
89', Cicerelli E. 🟨,
Preview
Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Latina won 2.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Latina may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Catania is seen as the favorite.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Latina won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 0.7:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Latina won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1:1.5).