The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Taranto 18.5%
Draw 26.7%
Catania 54.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
14.3%
25.8%
59.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
14.9%
24.8%
57.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Taranto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
Catania has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Catania might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Taranto than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Catania than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
Taranto - Catania Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Del Favero M. (G) 5. Marong B. 4. de Santis I. 13. Papazov T. 14. Verde F. 21. Matera A. (C) 18. Schirru G. 24. Speranza M. 3. Contessa S. 99. Battimelli G. 11. Zigoni G.
1. Bethers K. (G) 66. Ierardi M. 15. Di Gennaro M. 16. Quaini A. 20. Carpani G. 8. Sturaro S. (C) 6. De Rose F. 19. Raimo A. 10. Jimenez K. 21. Stoppa M. 9. Inglese R.
Substitutes
80. Fiorentino G. 27. Garau O. 32. Giovinco G. 20. Guarracino M. 39. Iervolino A. 94. Meli G. (G) 17. Sacco F. 77. Zerbo P.
36. Allegra O. 12. Butano D. (G) 27. Castellini A. 11. D'Andrea F. 37. Forti C. 24. Gega E. 23. Lunetta G. 32. Montalto A. 14. Verna L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 3)
23', Contessa S. 🟨,
23', 0 - 1, Ierardi M. ⚽,
24', 0 - 2, Stoppa M. ⚽,
39', Verde F. 🟨,
42', Inglese R. 🟨,
45+3', 0 - 3, Inglese R. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
52', Papazov T. 🟨,
57', de Santis I. 🟨,
58', Stoppa M. ↓, D'Andrea F. ↑,
58', Inglese R. ↓, Montalto A. ↑,
58', Jimenez K. ↓, Verna L. ↑,
59', Schirru G. ↓, Guarracino M. ↑,
65', Matera A. 🟨,
68', 1 - 3, Guarracino M. ⚽,
71', Matera A. ↓, Iervolino A. ↑,
72', Verde F. ↓, Garau O. ↑,
76', Sturaro S. ↓, Lunetta G. ↑,
79', 1 - 4, Montalto A. ⚽,
83', Marong B. 🟨,
84', De Rose F. ↓, Forti C. ↑,
85', Papazov T. 🟨,
85', Battimelli G. ↓, Giovinco G. ↑,
86', Speranza M. ↓, Fiorentino G. ↑,
86', 1 - 5, Forti C. ⚽,
Preview
An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Taranto won 2.
One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
Catania could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Catania is a favorite.
Last 6 head-to-head matches Taranto won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:3 (average 0.7:0.5).
Including matches at home between the teams Taranto won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:2 (average 1.3:0.7).