Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 4

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadio Angelo Massimino (Catania)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport Arena
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Catania		Scafatese

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.49	3.80	5.50
	1.57	3.45	5.00	Watch
	1.61	3.90	5.69
	1.61	3.6	5.32	Watch
	1.59	3.75	5.45
	1.58	3.72	5.93	Watch
	1.49	3.85	5.80
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↑ (1.44)	3.72 ↓ (3.95)	5.53 ↓ (6.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Catania
58.7%

Draw
24.6%

Scafatese
16.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.8%

22.9%

14.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.2%

21.7%

13.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Catania has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Scafatese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Catania than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Catania, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Scafatese than the current prediction. (-3%)

Catania - Scafatese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rinaldi F. (G) 68. Ierardi M. 16. Quaini A. 5. Perrotta M. 20. Donnarumma D. 28. Torrasi E. 4. Vallocchia A. 23. Lunetta G. 18. Cavuoti N. 10. Cicerelli E. (C) 99. Russo F.	22. Forte F. (G) 55. Guerra V. 20. Scognamiglio M. 6. Suhs J. 35. Novella M. 5. Proia F. 25. Toscano M. 15. Tripi F. 27. Palmieri C. 7. Volpicelli E. (C) 90. Emmausso M.
Substitutes
6. Allegretto A. 7. Bruzzaniti G. 8. Caligara F. 70. Catania N. 9. Coda M. 30. Corbari A. 15. Di Gennaro M. 57. Dini A. (G) 94. Insigne R. 21. Liguori M. 32. Masciangelo E.	13. Bacchetti L. 1. Becchi G. (G) 23. Brunet J. 16. Convitto R. 98. De Chiara E. 50. De Michele P. 8. Esposito A. 99. Ferrara A. 91. Longo S. 28. Molinaro S. 11. Ortisi P. 32. Terribili C.
Coaches
Longo E.	Facciolo M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, Emmausso M. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Donnarumma D. ↓, Bruzzaniti G. ↑,
53', Toscano M. 🟨,
53', Suhs J. 🟨,
54', 1 - 1, Russo F. ⚽, Bruzzaniti G. (A),
55', 🟨,
60', Palmieri C. 🟨,
62', Cicerelli E. 🟨,
63', Cavuoti N. ↓, Insigne R. ↑,
64', Palmieri C. ↓, Ortisi P. ↑,
64', Guerra V. ↓, Ferrara A. ↑,
64', Proia F. ↓, Esposito A. ↑,
70', Suhs J. ↓, Bacchetti L. ↑,
74', Torrasi E. ↓, Corbari A. ↑,
78', Lunetta G. 🟨,
79', Russo F. ↓, Coda M. ↑,
80', Lunetta G. ↓, Masciangelo E. ↑,
80', Volpicelli E. ↓, Convitto R. ↑,
90', 1 - 2, Toscano M. ⚽, Convitto R. (A),
90+2', Emmausso M. 🟨,

Preview

Catania is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Scafatese has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Scafatese may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Scafatese has had a series of away games.

In this match, Catania is the clear favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Catania	8	4	1	3	14:10	4	13
12	Scafatese	7	2	4	1	10:9	1	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Calcio Catania
Italian Serie C Group C
07.09.26	Catania - Nuova Cosenza	4:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
02.09.26	Catania - Savoia	0:3 ✺
Italian Serie C Group C
29.08.26	Monopoli - Catania	2:0 ✺
23.08.26	Catania - Inter U23	1:2 ✺
Coppa Italia
14.08.26	Parma - Catania	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 WLLLL
- Scafatese Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
06.09.26	Casertana - Scafatese	2:2 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
01.09.26	Campobasso - Scafatese	2:1 penalties ✺
Italian Serie C Group C
28.08.26	Scafatese - Picerno	0:2 ✺
21.08.26	Giugliano - Scafatese	3:3 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
15.08.26	Salernitana - Scafatese	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 TLLTW

Upcoming Matches