Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 2 - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 25 May 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Caudal Deportivo		Lealtad

	1	X	2
	1.49	3.7	5.75
	1.75	3.1	4.8
	1.88	2.96	4.32
	1.87	3.08	4.37	Watch
	1.82	3.13	4.72
	1.75	3.1	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↑ (1.58)	3.18 ↓ (3.8)	4.79 ↓ (5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caudal Deportivo
52.1%

Draw
28.8%

Lealtad
19.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.7%

24%

18.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.5%

22.2%

16.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caudal Deportivo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Caudal Deportivo's form might have worsened.

Lealtad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caudal Deportivo than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Caudal Deportivo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lealtad than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Caudal Deportivo - Lealtad Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1 - Lealtad (1.81) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Lealtad (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
3', 0 - 1, Yerpes Santillana S. ⚽,
23', 0 - 2, Yerpes Santillana S. ⚽,
32', 1 - 2, Sergio Rios (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
56', 1 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

1st leg result: 2-1. 2nd leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Caudal Deportivo won 2.

Caudal Deportivo is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Lealtad is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Caudal Deportivo is the undisputed favorite.

We predict that Caudal Deportivo will win today's game, with odds of 1.5.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Caudal Deportivo won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:17. (average 0.8:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Caudal Deportivo won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 0.9:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Caudal Deportivo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
18.05.25	Lealtad - Caudal Deportivo	1:2 ✺
11.05.25	Caudal Deportivo - Ceares	1:0 ✺
04.05.25	Colunga - Caudal Deportivo	0:2 ✺
27.04.25	Caudal Deportivo - Covadonga	1:0 ✺
17.04.25	LEntregu - Caudal Deportivo	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WWWWW
- CD Lealtad
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
18.05.25	Lealtad - Caudal Deportivo	1:2 ✺
11.05.25	Lealtad - Avilés Stadium	6:0 ✺
04.05.25	Mosconia - Lealtad	0:1 ✺
27.04.25	Lealtad - Praviano	1:1 ✺
17.04.25	Roces - Lealtad	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
18.05.25	Lealtad - Caudal Deportivo	1:2
09.03.25	Lealtad - Caudal Deportivo	0:0
27.10.24	Caudal Deportivo - Lealtad	2:1
03.02.24	Lealtad - Caudal Deportivo	1:0
17.09.23	Caudal Deportivo - Lealtad	0:0
09.04.23	Caudal Deportivo - Lealtad	1:0
11.12.22	Lealtad - Caudal Deportivo	0:0

Caudal Deportivo - Lealtad: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide