Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 2 - Play Offs - Final

Date: 31 May 2026, Sunday


	Caudal Deportivo		Covadonga

	1	X	2
	2.78	2.98	2.42
	2.94	2.8	2.45
	3	2.82	2.5	Watch
	2.9	2.8	2.45
	2.94	2.86	2.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.91 ↓ (3.44)	2.85 ↓ (3.3)	2.45 ↑ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caudal Deportivo
31.2%

Draw
31.8%

Covadonga
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.7%

27.8%

45.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.8%

25.8%

49%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caudal Deportivo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Covadonga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Covadonga might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caudal Deportivo than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Caudal Deportivo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Covadonga than the current prediction. (+12%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Covadonga could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Caudal Deportivo - Covadonga Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
41', 1 - 0, Acerete C. ⚽,
45', 1 - 1, Arias A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+6', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

First leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Caudal Deportivo won 2.

In recent matches, both teams have secured multiple victories.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Caudal Deportivo won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:11. (average 1.3:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Caudal Deportivo won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:5. (average 1.8:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Covadonga	5	4	1	0	14:4	10	13
6	Caudal Deportivo	5	3	1	1	8:6	2	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Caudal Deportivo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
24.05.26	Sporting de Gijón B - Caudal Deportivo	1:2 ET ✺
17.05.26	Caudal Deportivo - Sporting de Gijón B	0:0 ✺
19.04.26	Caudal Deportivo - Gijón Industrial	4:1 ✺
12.04.26	Praviano - Caudal Deportivo	0:1 ✺
02.04.26	Caudal Deportivo - Lenense	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WTWWW
- CD Covadonga
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
24.05.26	Covadonga - Mosconia	2:1 ✺
17.05.26	Mosconia - Covadonga	0:0 ✺
18.04.26	LEntregu - Covadonga	0:4 ✺
12.04.26	Covadonga - Colunga	2:0 ✺
02.04.26	Mosconia - Covadonga	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
22.03.26	Caudal Deportivo - Covadonga	2:1
09.11.25	Covadonga - Caudal Deportivo	1:0
27.04.25	Caudal Deportivo - Covadonga	1:0
15.12.24	Covadonga - Caudal Deportivo	0:0
26.03.23	Caudal Deportivo - Covadonga	1:1
27.11.22	Covadonga - Caudal Deportivo	1:1
30.01.22	Covadonga - Caudal Deportivo	0:3

Caudal Deportivo - Covadonga: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide