Match Info

Premier League - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadium East (Kingston)


	Cavalier		Waterhouse

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.45	3	2.68	Watch
	2.5	2.94	2.74
	2.58	3.05	2.83	Watch
	2.48	2.93	2.71	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 (2.5)	2.98 ↓ (3.1)	2.74 ↑ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cavalier
36.3%

Draw
30.5%

Waterhouse
33.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.4%

29.3%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.4%

30.1%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cavalier has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Waterhouse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cavalier than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Waterhouse than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Cavalier - Waterhouse Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
3', 0 - 1, Barrow N. ⚽,
7', 0 - 2, Thomas D. ⚽,
36', 1 - 2, Massicot D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
64', 2 - 2, Scott K. ⚽,

Preview

First leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cavalier won 0.

Cavalier is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Waterhouse has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cavalier won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 19:20. (average 1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Cavalier won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 0.6:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Waterhouse	3	3	0	0	13:0	13	9
6	Cavalier	3	2	1	0	6:4	2	7

Last Results with these Odds

Cavalier - the odds 2.5 are the expected chance of winning is 36.37%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Waterhouse - the odds 2.65 are the expected chance of winning is 34.31%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cavalier FC
Jamaica National Premier League
06.05.26	Cavalier - Harbour View	2:1 ✺
03.05.26	Tivoli Gardens - Cavalier	0:2 ✺
26.04.26	Cavalier - Racing United	2:0 ✺
23.04.26	Arnett Gardens - Cavalier	2:1 ✺
15.04.26	Cavalier - Portmore United	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WWWLT
- Waterhouse FC
Jamaica National Premier League
06.05.26	Waterhouse - Dunbeholden	4:0 ✺
03.05.26	Waterhouse - Chapelton Maroons	3:0 ✺
27.04.26	Mount Pleasant - Waterhouse	2:1 ✺
23.04.26	Waterhouse - Treasure Beach	1:2 ✺
19.04.26	Harbour View - Waterhouse	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Jamaica National Premier League
22.03.26	Waterhouse - Cavalier	2:1
11.01.26	Waterhouse - Cavalier	0:0
08.09.25	Cavalier - Waterhouse	0:1
09.03.25	Waterhouse - Cavalier	1:1
06.01.25	Cavalier - Waterhouse	2:2
29.09.24	Waterhouse - Cavalier	0:2
04.02.24	Waterhouse - Cavalier	0:1

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