The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Waterhouse 62.2%
Draw 23%
Dunbeholden 14.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
68.1%
20.3%
11.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
70.8%
19.5%
11.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Waterhouse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Waterhouse's form might have worsened.
Dunbeholden has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Waterhouse than the current prediction. (+8.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Waterhouse, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dunbeholden than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
Waterhouse - Dunbeholden Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
31', 1 - 0, Leacock O. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
83', 2 - 0, Cunningham D. ⚽,
Preview
This match features one of the top teams against an opponent battling near the bottom (ranked 3rd in the Promotion - Premier League Playoffs - Quarter - finals and 12th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Waterhouse won 3.
In recent outings, Waterhouse has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Dunbeholden has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Waterhouse holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.
In the last 18 head-to-head meetings, Waterhouse has recorded 10 wins, 6 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 27:12 (averaging 1.5:0.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Waterhouse against this opponent, the record stands at 8 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with 20:5 goals (averaging 2:0.5 per game).
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