Match Info

Premier League - Round 39

Date: 6 May 2026, Wednesday

Location: Waterhouse Mini Stadium (Kingston)


	Waterhouse		Dunbeholden

	1	X	2
	1.34	4.55	6.7
	1.35	4.72	6.32
	1.38	4.95	7.08	Watch
	1.3	4.8	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.56)	4.76 ↑ (3.79)	7.03 ↑ (5.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Waterhouse
67.9%

Draw
19.2%

Dunbeholden
13%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.5%

24.1%

17.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.7%

23.2%

16.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Waterhouse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Waterhouse's performance.

Dunbeholden has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Waterhouse than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Waterhouse that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dunbeholden than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

Waterhouse - Dunbeholden Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Barrow N. ⚽,
27', 2 - 0, Davis M. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
54', 3 - 0, Thomas D. ⚽,
89', 4 - 0, Lyle J. ⚽,

Preview

Waterhouse is Qualified for Premier League (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Waterhouse won 3.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Waterhouse may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Waterhouse is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Waterhouse won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 23:12. (average 1.4:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Waterhouse won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 16:5. (average 1.8:0.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Waterhouse	3	3	0	0	13:0	13	9
14	Dunbeholden	4	0	0	4	1:8	-7	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Waterhouse FC
Jamaica National Premier League
03.05.26	Waterhouse - Chapelton Maroons	3:0 ✺
27.04.26	Mount Pleasant - Waterhouse	2:1 ✺
23.04.26	Waterhouse - Treasure Beach	1:2 ✺
19.04.26	Harbour View - Waterhouse	0:1 ✺
15.04.26	Waterhouse - Tivoli Gardens	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLLWW
- Dunbeholden FC
Jamaica National Premier League
03.05.26	Dunbeholden - Mount Pleasant	0:5 ✺
23.04.26	Dunbeholden - Harbour View	4:0 ✺
19.04.26	Tivoli Gardens - Dunbeholden	2:0 ✺
15.04.26	Racing United - Dunbeholden	0:0 ✺
12.04.26	Arnett Gardens - Dunbeholden	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 LWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Jamaica National Premier League
08.02.26	Dunbeholden - Waterhouse	1:2
19.10.25	Waterhouse - Dunbeholden	0:0
04.05.25	Waterhouse - Dunbeholden	2:0
16.02.25	Dunbeholden - Waterhouse	1:0
08.12.24	Waterhouse - Dunbeholden	3:2
24.03.24	Waterhouse - Dunbeholden	1:0
27.12.23	Dunbeholden - Waterhouse	2:1

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