Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 7

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadio Simonetta Lamberti (Cava de' Tirreni)

Referee: Recchia A. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253


	Cavese		Savoia

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.05	3.00	3.30
	1.94	3.05	3.50	Watch
	2.26	3.20	3.39
	2.06	3.12	3.56	Watch
	2.20	3.10	3.25
	1.98	3.14	3.50	Watch
	2.08	3.05	3.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↑ (2.06)	3.09 ↓ (3.23)	3.41 ↓ (3.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cavese
43.8%

Draw
29.5%

Savoia
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.6%

28.5%

26.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1%

28.2%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cavese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Savoia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cavese than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Savoia than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Cavese - Savoia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Boffelli V. (G) 28. Mannucci T. 25. Peretti M. (C) 23. Fiordaliso A. 8. Diarrassouba A. 20. Esposito G. 5. Awua T. 17. Nunziata F. 24. Orlando F. 82. Fusco G. 7. Minaj E.	22. Leonardo M. (G) 35. Portanova D. 26. Noce M. (C) 27. Cozzoli F. 24. Iob S. 14. Tumbarello G. 6. Alfieri V. 18. Martina A. 8. Meola F. 45. Yeboah P. 90. Nepi A.
Substitutes
97. Acerbo F. 9. Alberti T. 2. Asiatico P. 22. Bertini M. (G) 26. Cionek T. 62. D'Amore F. 10. Fella G. 47. Fiorin G. 1. Juwer R. (G) 77. Macchi M. 61. Maiolo F. 33. Personeni M. 15. Ponziglione I. 11. Sava S. 46. Severino G.	1. Bethers K. (G) 7. D'Agostino G. 30. Fabriani C. 77. Ferrara L. 21. Fiasco A. 28. Gemello A. 4. Patrignani G. 17. Polizzi M. 9. Scotti F. 15. Zoboletti A.
Coaches
Masitto C.	Formisano A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
21', Diarrassouba A. ↓, Sava S. ↑,
23', 1 - 0, Fusco G. ⚽, Mannucci T. (A),
25', Noce M. 🟨,
40', Cozzoli F. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 2)
46', Martina A. ↓, Scotti F. ↑,
48', 2 - 0, Orlando F. ⚽,
59', Esposito G. ↓, Maiolo F. ↑,
64', 2 - 1, Scotti F. ⚽, Meola F. (A),
68', 3 - 1, Peretti M. ⚽, Orlando F. (A),
71', 4 - 1, Mannucci T. ⚽,
76', Yeboah P. ↓, Fabriani C. ↑,
79', 4 - 2, Tumbarello G. ⚽,
81', Iob S. ↓, Polizzi M. ↑,
81', Alfieri V. ↓, D'Agostino G. ↑,
81', Orlando F. ↓, Fella G. ↑,
82', Fusco G. ↓, Macchi M. ↑,
82', Fiordaliso A. ↓, Fiorin G. ↑,
88', Cozzoli F. ↓, Gemello A. ↑,

Preview

Two table neighbours face each other in what promises to be a tight contest (ranked 17th in the Serie C ~ Play Out and 15th).

In recent outings, Cavese has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Savoia shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Cavese is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Cavese	8	3	2	3	14:14	0	11
16	Savoia	8	1	4	3	9:11	-2	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USD Cavese 1919
Italian Serie C Group C
20.09.26	Potenza - Cavese	4:2 ✺
15.09.26	Cavese - Sorrento	2:3 ✺
12.09.26	Nuova Cosenza - Cavese	0:0 ✺
06.09.26	Salernitana - Cavese	1:1 ✺
28.08.26	Cavese - Audace Cerignola	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LLTTW
- US Savoia
Italian Serie C Group C
19.09.26	Savoia - Casarano	1:1 ✺
15.09.26	Foggia - Savoia	0:0 ✺
12.09.26	Savoia - Crotone	1:1 ✺
06.09.26	Altamura - Savoia	0:2 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
02.09.26	Catania - Savoia	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.5 TTTWW

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