Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 5

Date: 15 September 2026, Tuesday

Location: Stadio Simonetta Lamberti (Cava de' Tirreni)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia


	Cavese		Sorrento

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.20	2.87	3.10
	2.28	2.92	3.1	Watch
	2.36	2.95	3.44
	2.33	2.91	3.18	Watch
	2.25	2.9	3.4
	2.34	3	3.23	Watch
	2.28	2.95	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↑ (2.23)	2.93 ↓ (3.07)	3.22 ↑ (3.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Cavese
40.1%

Draw
31.4%

Sorrento
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.2%

29.9%

28.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4%

30.8%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cavese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Sorrento has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cavese than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sorrento than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Cavese - Sorrento Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Cavese will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Sorrento will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Cavese (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Boffelli V. (G) 23. Fiordaliso A. 26. Cionek T. (C) 25. Peretti M. 11. Sava S. 8. Diarrassouba A. 5. Awua T. 4. Visconti E. 17. Nunziata F. 9. Alberti T. 82. Fusco G.	22. Harrasser S. (G) 33. Viscardi A. 5. Cargnelutti R. 27. Loreto C. 32. Paglino S. 8. Cuccurullo M. (C) 28. Capezzi L. 23. Cangianiello S. 11. Falasca M. 10. Ricci F. 19. Bolzan A.
Substitutes
97. Acerbo F. 2. Asiatico P. 22. Bertini M. (G) 62. D'Amore F. 20. Esposito G. 47. Fiorin G. 1. Juwer R. (G) 61. Maiolo F. 28. Mannucci T. 7. Minaj E. 24. Orlando F. 33. Personeni M. 15. Ponziglione I. 46. Severino G.	4. Bacci J. 20. Bernabeo S. 48. Boccarusso J. (G) 31. Castaldi G. 3. Crecco L. 13. Del Sorbo L. (G) 26. Di Somma V. 24. Evangelisti N. 6. Fusco F. 99. Marchesi F. 9. Parker S. 21. Potenza A. 7. Starita E. 18. Tonni M.
Coaches
Masitto C.	Maiuri V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
15', Cionek T. 🟨,
19', 0 - 1, Cargnelutti R. ⚽, Capezzi L. (A),
31', Viscardi A. 🟨,
37', 0 - 2, Paglino S. ⚽,
38', Awua T. 🟨,
45+2', Awua T. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Cionek T. ↓, Mannucci T. ↑,
46', Fusco G. ↓, Esposito G. ↑,
55', 1 - 2, Fiordaliso A. ⚽, Visconti E. (A),
63', Viscardi A. ↓, Fusco F. ↑,
63', Bolzan A. ↓, Starita E. ↑,
63', Fiordaliso A. ↓, Orlando F. ↑,
67', Capezzi L. 🟨,
73', Capezzi L. ↓, Bacci J. ↑,
73', Ricci F. ↓, Parker S. ↑,
78', 1 - 3, Cargnelutti R. ⚽, Bacci J. (A),
79', Nunziata F. ↓, D'Amore F. ↑,
80', Alberti T. ↓, Minaj E. ↑,
83', Paglino S. ↓, Evangelisti N. ↑,
90+1', 2 - 3, Minaj E. ⚽, Visconti E. (A),

Preview

In recent matches, Cavese has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Sorrento is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Cavese may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Cavese has had a series of away games.

Cavese could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Cavese won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 1.3:0.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Cavese won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Sorrento	8	6	0	2	12:7	5	18
11	Cavese	8	3	2	3	14:14	0	11

Last Results with these Odds

Cavese - the odds 2.23 are the expected chance of winning is 41.23%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USD Cavese 1919
Italian Serie C Group C
12.09.26	Nuova Cosenza - Cavese	0:0 ✺
06.09.26	Salernitana - Cavese	1:1 ✺
28.08.26	Cavese - Audace Cerignola	3:1 ✺
21.08.26	Bari - Cavese	3:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
15.08.26	Campobasso - Cavese	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 TTWLL
- Sorrento FC
Italian Serie C Group C
12.09.26	Sorrento - Picerno	1:0 ✺
05.09.26	Giugliano - Sorrento	0:2 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
02.09.26	Sorrento - Nuova Cosenza	1:0 ✺
Italian Serie C Group C
29.08.26	Sorrento - Crotone	1:0 ✺
24.08.26	Salernitana - Sorrento	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.2 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
03.01.26	Cavese - Sorrento	1:0
24.08.25	Sorrento - Cavese	0:0
27.04.25	Cavese - Sorrento	1:0
14.12.24	Sorrento - Cavese	1:3

Upcoming Matches