Match Info
Date: 1 August 2021, Sunday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Caxias |
|
Joinville |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.15 |
2.85 |
3.3 |
|
 |
2.25 |
2.55 |
3.7 |
|
 |
2.05 |
2.7 |
4 |
|
 |
2.11 |
2.8 |
4.32 |
|
 |
2.2 |
2.88 |
3.4 |
|
 |
2.1 |
2.73 |
4.1 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.14 ↓
(2.22) |
2.75 ↓
(2.88) |
3.8 ↑
(3.32) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Caxias
42.7% | Draw
33.3% | Joinville
24.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Caxias has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)Joinville has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caxias than the current prediction. (-15.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Caxias that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joinville than the current prediction. (+17.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Joinville could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats. 
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Preview
Recent matches Caxias is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2). Joinville is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2). Joinville could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days. Caxias will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Caxias won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3. Including matches at home between the teams Caxias won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Brazilian Serie D | | | 10.07.21 | Joinville - Caxias | 2:0 | | 31.10.20 | Caxias - Joinville | 1:0 | | 10.10.20 | Joinville - Caxias | 1:1 |
|
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