Match Info

Copa Santa Catarina - Round 1

Date: 30 August 2026, Sunday


	Náutico Marcílio Dias		Joinville

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.20	4.75
	1.78	2.62	6.01
	1.7	2.84	6.85
	1.75	2.55	5.95
	1.79	3.28	4.6
	1.53	3.85	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↑ (1.53)	3.06 ↓ (3.85)	5.59 ↑ (5.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Náutico Marcílio Dias
53.7%

Draw
29.9%

Joinville
16.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.5%

23.6%

16.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Náutico Marcílio Dias has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Náutico Marcílio Dias's form might have worsened.

Joinville has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Náutico Marcílio Dias - Joinville Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, ⚽,
45+1', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
50', 3 - 0, ⚽,
66', 3 - 1, ⚽,
75', 3 - 2, ⚽,
78', 4 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Marcílio Dias won 3.

In this match, Marcílio Dias is seen as the favorite.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Marcílio Dias won 7 matches, drew 10 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 25:16. (average 1.3:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Marcílio Dias won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:3. (average 1.4:0.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Marcilio Dias	5	3	1	1	15:9	6	10
4	Joinville	5	3	0	2	10:8	2	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Náutico Marcílio Dias
Brazilian Serie D
11.07.26	Portuguesa - Náutico Marcílio Dias	2:0 ✺
04.07.26	Náutico Marcílio Dias - Portuguesa	1:1 ✺
28.06.26	Náutico Marcílio Dias - FC Cascavel	2:1 ✺
21.06.26	FC Cascavel - Náutico Marcílio Dias	2:2 ✺
07.06.26	São-Joseense - Náutico Marcílio Dias	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LTWTT
- Joinville
Brazilian Serie D
07.06.26	São Luiz - Joinville	3:1 ✺
30.05.26	Joinville - Guarany de Bagé	2:0 ✺
23.05.26	Joinville - Cianorte	0:0 ✺
16.05.26	Santa Catarina - Joinville	1:0 ✺
10.05.26	FC Cascavel - Joinville	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
06.03.26	Náutico Marcílio Dias - Joinville	2:0
03.02.26	Joinville - Náutico Marcílio Dias	2:4
Brazilian Serie D
06.07.25	Joinville - Náutico Marcílio Dias	1:1
10.05.25	Náutico Marcílio Dias - Joinville	1:0
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
06.02.25	Joinville - Náutico Marcílio Dias	1:1
Brazilian Copa Santa Catarina
29.09.24	Joinville - Náutico Marcílio Dias	2:2
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
20.01.24	Joinville - Náutico Marcílio Dias	2:3

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