Match Info

Date: 12 September 2021, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Caxias		Portuguesa

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Caxias
31.2%

Draw
34.2%

Portuguesa
34.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

32.7%

33.7%

33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.6%

28.4%

44%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caxias has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Portuguesa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caxias than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portuguesa than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Portuguesa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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1st leg.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Portuguesa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Caxias won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Caxias won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SER Caxias do Sul
Brazilian Serie D
04.09.21	Caxias - Grêmio Juventus	1:1 ✺
29.08.21	Rio Branco PR - Caxias	1:2 ✺
21.08.21	Caxias - FC Cascavel	1:1 ✺
14.08.21	Caxias - Esportivo Bento Gonçalves	0:1 ✺
08.08.21	Aimoré - Caxias	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 TWTLL
- Portuguesa SP
Brazilian Serie D
04.09.21	Cianorte - Portuguesa	0:0 ✺
28.08.21	Portuguesa - Madureira	2:0 ✺
21.08.21	Santo André - Portuguesa	2:2 ✺
14.08.21	Portuguesa - Internacional de Limeira	0:1 ✺
07.08.21	São Bento - Portuguesa	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TWTLW

Caxias - Portuguesa