Match Info
Serie D - Round 5Date: 2 May 2026, SaturdayLocation: Estadio do Caninde (Sao Paulo)
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Portuguesa |
|
Madureira |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.31 |
4.33 |
8.5 |
|
 |
1.28 |
4.58 |
9.84 |
|
 |
1.32 |
4.42 |
9.75 |
 Watch |
 |
1.3 |
4.2 |
9.5 |
|
 |
1.3 |
4.5 |
9.1 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.3 ↓
(1.49) |
4.41 ↑
(3.7) |
9.34 ↑
(6.69) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Portuguesa
69.7% | Draw
20.6% | Madureira
9.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Portuguesa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Portuguesa's performance.Madureira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portuguesa than the current prediction. (-6.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Portuguesa that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Madureira than the current prediction. (+3.7%)Portuguesa - Madureira Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1 
#ad
Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 3', 1 - 0, Eduardo Biazus ⚽,
- 41', 2 - 0, Maceio ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 52', 2 - 1, Joao Carlos ⚽,
Preview
Portuguesa has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).Madureira is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1). In this match, Portuguesa is the obvious favorite.In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Portuguesa won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:4. (average 2.3:1).Including home matches between the teams, Portuguesa won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 3:1).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Brazilian Serie D | | | 28.08.21 | Portuguesa - Madureira | 2:0 | | 13.06.21 | Madureira - Portuguesa | 1:1 | | Brazilian Serie C | | | 17.08.15 | Portuguesa - Madureira | 4:2 | | 30.05.15 | Madureira - Portuguesa | 1:2 |
|
Bet £10 and get £30 in Free Bets
Get 100% up to 500 SEK + 100 Free spins
Betting Bonus up to 1 000 EUR + 250 EUR free bet !
