Match Info

Serie C - First stage - Round 5

Date: 11 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Francisco Stedile (Caxias do Sul)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Nosso Futebol+, Sky+, Zapping


	Caxias		Retrô Brasil

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.87	3	3.9
	1.9	3.05	4.1	Watch
	1.93	3.1	4.57
	1.92	3.1	4.5
	1.91	2.8	4
	1.84	3.06	4.39	Watch
	1.9	3.05	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↑ (1.87)	3.02 ↓ (3.1)	4.22 ↑ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caxias
48.2%

Draw
30.2%

Retrô Brasil
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.7%

28.8%

23.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caxias has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Retrô Brasil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Caxias - Retrô Brasil Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Thiago Coelho (G) 33. Alan 16. Douglas Skilo 11. Iago 4. Lucas Cunha 6. Marcelo 27. Pedro Cuiaba 2. Thiago Ennes 10. Tomas Bastos 23. Vinicius Guedes 19. Welder	12. Fabian Volpi (G) 22. Bruno Marques 3. Claudinho 25. Eduardo 18. Franco R. 20. Gledson 6. Gustavo Salomao 30. Maycon Douglas 16. Natan 8. Radsley 4. Rayan Ribeiro
Substitutes
3. Alisson 25. Calyson 44. Douglas 51. Eliedson 7. Gabriel Lima 43. Guilherme Mantuan 21. Kelvyn 90. Richard 15. Ronei 32. Victor Golas (G) 29. Willen Mota 28. Yann Rolim	14. Danillo 27. Jonas 11. Junior Fialho 28. Lucas Grafite 26. Ly I. 21. Marquinhos 29. Mendonca 13. Mike 1. Paulo Gianezini (G) 19. Rayne Assis 5. Romulo 15. Walce
Coaches
Junior Rocha	Mendes M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
14', Welder ↓, Willen Mota ↑,
23', 0 - 1, Maycon Douglas ⚽,
45+2', Maycon Douglas 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Douglas Skilo ↓, Calyson ↑,
51', Iago 🟨,
55', 1 - 1, Iago ⚽,
61', Bruno Marques ↓, Junior Fialho ↑,
64', Natan 🟨,
69', Maycon Douglas ↓, Lucas Grafite ↑,
69', Franco R. ↓, Ly I. ↑,
77', 2 - 1, Willen Mota ⚽,
79', Ly I. 🟨,
84', Iago ↓, Richard ↑,
86', Richard 🟨,
90+2', Tomas Bastos ↓, Eliedson ↑,
90+2', Pedro Cuiaba ↓, Yann Rolim ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: ) and 14).

Retrô's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Caxias is seen as the favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SER Caxias do Sul
Brazilian Serie C
05.05.25	Figueirense - Caxias	2:3 ✺
28.04.25	Caxias - Guarani	2:0 ✺
20.04.25	Confiança - Caxias	2:1 ✺
13.04.25	Caxias - Floresta	1:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
05.03.25	Caxias - Fluminense	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WWLWL
- Retrô Brasil
Brazilian Serie C
04.05.25	Floresta - Retrô Brasil	1:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
29.04.25	Retrô Brasil - Fortaleza	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie C
26.04.25	Retrô Brasil - Figueirense	2:1 ✺
19.04.25	Ponte Preta - Retrô Brasil	1:0 ✺
13.04.25	Retrô Brasil - Tombense	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LTWLT

Caxias - Retrô Brasil: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide