Match Info

Serie C - First stage - Round 4

Date: 4 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Domingão (Horizonte)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Nosso Futebol+, Sky+, Zapping


	Floresta		Retrô Brasil

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3	2.8	2.3
	3.1	2.8	2.36	Watch
	3.36	2.99	2.45
	3.3	2.81	2.46
	3.1	2.8	2.3
	3.13	2.89	2.31	Watch
	3.1	2.8	2.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.16 ↑ (2.27)	2.84 ↓ (2.9)	2.36 ↓ (3.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Floresta
29%

Draw
32.2%

Retrô Brasil
38.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.2%

31.4%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Floresta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Floresta's form might have worsened.

Retrô Brasil has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Retrô Brasil's recent form is better than expected.

Floresta - Retrô Brasil Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dalton (G) 8. Guilherme Araujo 31. Icaro (C) 9. Jeam 2. Mateus Ludke 28. Pablo 6. Rafael Furlan 7. Ruan 11. Thiaguinho 13. Thomas Kayck 3. Vitao	12. Fabian Volpi (G) 3. Claudinho 18. Franco R. 2. Gedeilson 6. Gustavo Salomao 27. Jonas 11. Junior Fialho 30. Maycon Douglas 13. Mike 8. Radsley (C) 4. Rayan Ribeiro
Substitutes
22. Cesar (G) 16. Davi Castro 25. Diogo Mourao 18. Guilherme Martineli 15. Igor Dutra 4. Julio Vaz 20. Marco Antonio 29. Rodrigo 30. Romarinho 19. Rubens 21. Vitinho 12. Wilderk (G)	22. Bruno Marques 14. Danillo 25. Eduardo 20. Gledson 26. Ly I. 29. Mendonca 16. Natan 1. Paulo Gianezini (G) 19. Rayne Assis 5. Romulo 15. Walce
Coaches
Leston Junior	Mendes M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', Gedeilson ↓, Ly I. ↑,
16', 1 - 0, Thomas Kayck ⚽,
34', Jeam 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Franco R. ↓, Eduardo ↑,
46', Mike ↓, Bruno Marques ↑,
58', Jeam ↓, Rubens ↑,
66', Junior Fialho ↓, Natan ↑,
69', Jonas ↓, Gledson ↑,
69', Ruan ↓, Guilherme Martineli ↑,
76', Guilherme Araujo ↓, Marco Antonio ↑,
87', Marco Antonio 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie D and 11).

In recent matches, Retrô has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Floresta - the odds 2.27 are the expected chance of winning is 40.22%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Floresta EC
Brazilian Serie C
28.04.25	Anápolis - Floresta	0:0 ✺
20.04.25	Floresta - Londrina	0:2 ✺
13.04.25	Caxias - Floresta	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Cearense
27.02.25	Floresta - Cariri	2:1 ✺
21.02.25	Floresta - Iguatu	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TLLWW
- Retrô Brasil
Copa do Brasil
29.04.25	Retrô Brasil - Fortaleza	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie C
26.04.25	Retrô Brasil - Figueirense	2:1 ✺
19.04.25	Ponte Preta - Retrô Brasil	1:0 ✺
13.04.25	Retrô Brasil - Tombense	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
02.04.25	Sport Recife - Retrô Brasil	2:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.9 TWLTW

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