Match Info

Serie C - First stage - Round 14

Date: 11 July 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Francisco Stedile (Caxias do Sul)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Caxias		Floresta

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.73	3.10	4.50
	1.78	3.1	4.45	Watch
	1.7	3.23	5.13
	1.87	3.16	4.43	Watch
	1.67	3.15	5
	1.7	3.34	4.69	Watch
	1.71	3.10	4.70
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (1.89)	3.17 ↑ (2.95)	4.7 ↑ (4.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caxias
52.1%

Draw
28.6%

Floresta
19.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.6%

30.5%

21.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

29.8%

21.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caxias has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Floresta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caxias than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Floresta than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Caxias - Floresta Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Caxias will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Busatto G. (G) 5. Breno Santos 7. Calyson 2. Felipe Albuquerque 3. Ianson 19. Jhonatan Ribeiro 4. Mancha 8. Marcelo Freitas (C) 10. Matheus Anjos 6. Roberto 9. Salatiel	12. Dheimison (C) 29. Caique 30. Eduardo 15. Eliandro 13. Garraty 23. Islan 5. Jhony Douglas 18. Joao Celeri 21. Matheus Martins 17. Nonato 14. Valdo
Substitutes
20. Felipe Rangel 21. Gaspar 15. Grigor 22. Joao Lucas 12. Marcelo (G) 23. Matheus Nunes 14. Mauricio Ribeiro 17. Portela Torres K. C. 16. Victor Sa 11. Vitor Feijao 18. Vitor Gabriel 13. Windson	2. Cedric 8. Danrley 6. Diego Matos 25. Diogo Mourao 7. Gustavinho 1. Jeferson Souza (G) 27. Marco Antonio 10. Matheusinho 11. Rafinha 26. Thailor

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Garraty ↓, Matheusinho ↑,
71', Mancha ↓, Mauricio Ribeiro ↑,
71', Jhonatan Ribeiro ↓, Gaspar ↑,
71', Calyson ↓, Felipe Rangel ↑,
71', Matheus Anjos ↓, Joao Lucas ↑,
75', Roberto ↓, Victor Sa ↑,
77', Matheus Martins ↓, Rafinha ↑,
83', Eliandro 🟨,
84', Gustavinho 🟨,
87', Eliandro ↓, Danrley ↑,
87', Nonato ↓, Cedric ↑,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: ) and 10).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Caxias is a strong favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Caxias won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 0.8:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Caxias won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SER Caxias do Sul
Brazilian Serie C
04.07.26	Ferroviária - Caxias	0:1 ✺
30.06.26	Caxias - Anápolis	1:1 ✺
21.06.26	Caxias - Maringá	1:1 ✺
13.06.26	Guarani - Caxias	2:1 ✺
30.05.26	Caxias - Ituano	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WTTLW
- Floresta EC
Brazilian Serie C
04.07.26	Guarani - Floresta	0:0 ✺
27.06.26	Floresta - Barra Santa Catarina	2:1 ✺
21.06.26	Brusque - Floresta	2:1 ✺
14.06.26	Floresta - Figueirense	1:2 ✺
30.05.26	Floresta - Confiança	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 TWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
11.10.25	Caxias - Floresta	1:1
07.09.25	Floresta - Caxias	0:0
13.04.25	Caxias - Floresta	1:0
30.06.24	Floresta - Caxias	2:1

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