Match Info
Serie C - First stage - Round 14Date: 11 July 2026, SaturdayLocation: Estadio Francisco Stedile (Caxias do Sul)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Usa | SportsEngine Play |
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Caxias |
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Floresta |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 Watch |
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1.73 |
3.10 |
4.50 |
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1.78 |
3.1 |
4.45 |
Watch |
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1.7 |
3.23 |
5.13 |
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1.87 |
3.16 |
4.43 |
Watch |
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1.67 |
3.15 |
5 |
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1.7 |
3.34 |
4.69 |
Watch |
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1.71 |
3.10 |
4.70 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.74 ↓
(1.89) |
3.17 ↑
(2.95) |
4.7 ↑
(4.1) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Caxias
52.1% | Draw
28.6% | Floresta
19.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Caxias has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)Floresta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caxias than the current prediction. (-3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Floresta than the current prediction. (+2.1%)Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Caxias will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
1.  Busatto G. (G)
5. Breno Santos
7. Calyson
2. Felipe Albuquerque
3. Ianson
19. Jhonatan Ribeiro
4. Mancha
8. Marcelo Freitas (C)
10. Matheus Anjos
6. Roberto
9. Salatiel
| 12. Dheimison (C)
29. Caique
30. Eduardo
15. Eliandro
13. Garraty
23. Islan
5. Jhony Douglas
18. Joao Celeri
21. Matheus Martins
17. Nonato
14. Valdo
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| Substitutes |
20. Felipe Rangel
21. Gaspar
15. Grigor
22. Joao Lucas
12. Marcelo (G)
23. Matheus Nunes
14. Mauricio Ribeiro
17. Portela Torres K. C.
16. Victor Sa
11. Vitor Feijao
18. Vitor Gabriel
13. Windson
| 2. Cedric
8. Danrley
6. Diego Matos
25. Diogo Mourao
7. Gustavinho
1. Jeferson Souza (G)
27. Marco Antonio
10. Matheusinho
11. Rafinha
26. Thailor
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 58', Garraty ↓, Matheusinho ↑,
- 71', Mancha ↓, Mauricio Ribeiro ↑,
- 71', Jhonatan Ribeiro ↓, Gaspar ↑,
- 71', Calyson ↓, Felipe Rangel ↑,
- 71', Matheus Anjos ↓, Joao Lucas ↑,
- 75', Roberto ↓, Victor Sa ↑,
- 77', Matheus Martins ↓, Rafinha ↑,
- 83', Eliandro 🟨,
- 84', Gustavinho 🟨,
- 87', Eliandro ↓, Danrley ↑,
- 87', Nonato ↓, Cedric ↑,
Preview
Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: ) and 10).The recent form of both competitors has been shaky. In this match, Caxias is a strong favorite.In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Caxias won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 0.8:0.8).Including home matches between the teams, Caxias won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
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Outrights of Brazilian Serie C for now
Floresta EC: 2.62%
Standings
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 9 | SER Caxias | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 13:10 | 3 | 21 |
| 10 | Floresta EC | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 15:14 | 1 | 20 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Brazilian Serie C | | | 11.10.25 | Caxias - Floresta | 1:1 | | 07.09.25 | Floresta - Caxias | 0:0 | | 13.04.25 | Caxias - Floresta | 1:0 | | 30.06.24 | Floresta - Caxias | 2:1 |
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