Match Info

BRAZIL: Copa Betano do Brasil - 1/32-finals

Date: 5 March 2025, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Francisco Stedile (Caxias do Sul)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping


	Caxias		Fluminense

	1	X	2
	7.5	4.2	1.44
	6.75	4.1	1.4
	7.4	4.1	1.45
	9.16	3.94	1.46
	8.2	3.81	1.47	Watch
	7.5	4	1.4
	7.9	4.24	1.45
	7.4	4.1	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.73 ↑ (7.57)	4.06 ↓ (4.37)	1.44 ↑ (1.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caxias
12.1%

Draw
23%

Fluminense
64.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.3%

21.3%

66.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.8%

20.4%

69.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caxias has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Fluminense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caxias than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fluminense than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

Caxias - Fluminense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Victor Golas (G) 3. Alisson 25. Calyson 43. Guilherme Mantuan 11. Iago 21. Kelvyn 4. Lucas Cunha 27. Pedro Cuiaba 15. Ronei 10. Tomas Bastos (C) 23. Vinicius Guedes	1. Fabio (C) 21. Arias J. 17. Canobbio A. 14. Cano G. 22. Freytes J. 12. Fuentes G. 23. Guga 4. Ignacio 8. Martinelli 94. Otavio 90. Serna K.
Substitutes
33. Alan 14. Carlos Henrique 44. Douglas 7. Gabriel Lima 5. Lorran 6. Marcelo 31. Matheus Silva (G) 77. Nicholas 8. Paulinho Souza 90. Richard 2. Thiago Ennes	5. Bernal F. 9. Everaldo 35. Hercules 11. Keno 19. Lavega J. 16. Nonato 77. Paulo Baya 6. Rene 28. Riquelme Felipe 2. Samuel Xavier 29. Thiago Santos 98. Vitor Eudes (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
41', 0 - 1, Cano G. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Iago ↓, Richard ↑,
46', Guilherme Mantuan ↓, Gabriel Lima ↑,
66', 0 - 2, Cano G. ⚽,
69', 1 - 2, Alisson ⚽,
70', Cano G. ↓, Everaldo ↑,
70', Serna K. ↓, Hercules ↑,
71', Calyson ↓, Nicholas ↑,
72', Lucas Cunha 🟨,
82', Martinelli ↓, Nonato ↑,
83', Guga 🟨,
84', Ronei ↓, Thiago Ennes ↑,
84', Pedro Cuiaba ↓, Paulinho Souza ↑,
89', Paulinho Souza 🟨,
89', Guga ↓, Samuel Xavier ↑,
90', Canobbio A. ↓, Paulo Baya ↑,

Preview

Recent matches Caxias is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Fluminense in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Caxias could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Fluminense have a series of home games.

In this match Fluminense is indisputable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SER Caxias do Sul
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
01.03.25	Internacional RS - Caxias	3:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
26.02.25	Dourados - Caxias	0:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
22.02.25	Caxias - Internacional RS	0:2 ✺
15.02.25	Caxias - EC São José Porto Alegre	1:1 ✺
12.02.25	Guarany de Bagé - Caxias	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LWLTT
- Fluminense RJ
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
02.03.25	Fluminense - Volta Redonda	4:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
26.02.25	Águia de Marabá - Fluminense	0:8 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
23.02.25	Fluminense - Bangu	3:2 ✺
16.02.25	Fluminense - Nova Iguaçu	2:0 ✺
08.02.25	Fluminense - Flamengo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWWWT

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