Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 26

Date: 10 March 2024, Sunday


	Cayón		Arandina

	1	X	2
	2.3	3	2.75
	2.35	3.2	2.95	Watch
	2.5	3.17	2.76
	2.5	3.17	2.76
	2.37	3.14	2.96
	2.34	3	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↓ (2.42)	3.11 ↑ (2.75)	2.86 ↓ (3.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cayón
38.4%

Draw
29.5%

Arandina
32.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

33%

29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

34.8%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cayón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Arandina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cayón than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arandina than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Cayón - Arandina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Cayón is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Arandina is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Cayón could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Cayón won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Cayón
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
03.03.24	Marino de Luanco - Cayón	1:0 ✺
25.02.24	Cayón - Rayo Cantabria	1:1 ✺
18.02.24	Real Avilés - Cayón	1:1 ✺
11.02.24	Cayón - Real Oviedo B	0:1 ✺
04.02.24	Pontevedra - Cayón	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 LTTLL
- Arandina CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
02.03.24	Arandina - Langreo	2:0 ✺
24.02.24	Valladolid B - Arandina	1:4 ✺
17.02.24	Arandina - Gimnástica de Torrelavega	2:3 ✺
11.02.24	RC Villalbes - Arandina	0:0 ✺
03.02.24	Arandina - Deportivo A Coruña B	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.4 WWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
28.10.23	Arandina - Cayón	1:1

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