Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 3 - Round 20Date: 1 February 2026, Sunday
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Cayón |
|
Atlético Albericia |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.1 |
3.1 |
3.2 |
|
 |
2 |
3.35 |
3.45 |
|
 |
2.03 |
3.37 |
3.36 |
|
 |
2.05 |
3 |
3.3 |
|
 |
1.99 |
3.3 |
3.39 |
|
 |
2.05 |
3.33 |
3.2 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.04 ↓
(2.27) |
3.24 ↑
(2.98) |
3.32 ↑
(3.03) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
- The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Cayón
44.6% | Draw
28% | Atlético Albericia
27.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cayón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)Atlético Albericia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cayón than the current prediction. (-4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Albericia than the current prediction. (+1.9%)Cayón - Atlético Albericia Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 52', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 72', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 90+5', 2 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 3 (Play Offs: ) and 7).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cayón won 3.Cayón is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).Atlético Albericia's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).Atlético Albericia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Cayón won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 22:17. (average 2.2:1.7).Including home matches between the teams, Cayón won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:9. (average 2.4:1.8).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 5 | Cayon | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5:2 | 3 | 10 |
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| 16 | Atletico Albericia | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3:9 | -6 | 1 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3 | | | 20.09.25 | Atlético Albericia - Cayón | 3:0 | | 24.05.25 | Atlético Albericia - Cayón | 2:3 ET | | 18.05.25 | Cayón - Atlético Albericia | 2:1 | | 15.03.25 | Atlético Albericia - Cayón | 0:1 | | 03.11.24 | Cayón - Atlético Albericia | 2:4 | | 12.03.23 | Cayón - Atlético Albericia | 1:2 | | 05.11.22 | Atlético Albericia - Cayón | 2:2 |
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