Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 18 - Round 27

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday


	Cazalegas		Villarrobledo

	1	X	2
	3.5	3	1.95
	3.3	3	2.08
	3.62	3.27	1.93
	3.70	3.24	1.99	Watch
	3.6	3	1.95
	3.62	3.2	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.56 ↑ (3.05)	3.12 ↓ (3.15)	1.98 ↓ (2.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cazalegas
25.4%

Draw
28.9%

Villarrobledo
45.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.6%

28.6%

41.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29%

28%

42.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cazalegas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Villarrobledo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cazalegas than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villarrobledo than the current prediction. (-3%)

Cazalegas - Villarrobledo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
47', 0 - 1, Arimany J. ⚽,
76', 0 - 2, Escribano E. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 12).

Recent form of Cazalegas has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Villarrobledo is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Cazalegas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Villarrobledo could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Cazalegas won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:2. (average 1.5:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Cazalegas won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:0. (average 2.5:0).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Villarrobledo	5	3	2	0	8:1	7	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Cazalegas
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
14.03.26	Albacete B - Cazalegas	5:0 ✺
08.03.26	Cazalegas - La Solana	2:1 ✺
01.03.26	Deportivo Toledo - Cazalegas	6:0 ✺
22.02.26	Sonseca - Cazalegas	3:0 ✺
15.02.26	Cazalegas - Huracán Balazote	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LWLLT
- CP Villarrobledo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
15.03.26	Villarrobledo - Huracán Balazote	1:1 ✺
07.03.26	Guadalajara B - Villarrobledo	3:1 ✺
01.03.26	Villarrobledo - Marchamalo	2:1 ✺
21.02.26	Azuqueca - Villarrobledo	1:3 ✺
15.02.26	Villarrobledo - Villarrubia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
08.11.25	Villarrobledo - Cazalegas	1:0
16.02.25	Cazalegas - Villarrobledo	3:0
05.10.24	Villarrobledo - Cazalegas	1:1
07.01.24	Cazalegas - Villarrobledo	2:0

Cazalegas - Villarrobledo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide