The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cañuelas 40.2%
Draw 33.8%
El Porvenir 26%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.8%
33.4%
30.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.8%
33.4%
30.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cañuelas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
El Porvenir has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cañuelas than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Porvenir than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
Cañuelas - El Porvenir Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera C (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera C (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ))
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cañuelas won 2.
Cañuelas has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
El Porvenir is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
El Porvenir may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Cañuelas might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Cañuelas won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:8. (average 1.7:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Cañuelas won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:6. (average 2.3:1.5).