Match Info

BRAZIL: COPA DO NORDESTE - ROUND 2

Date: 11 February 2024, Sunday

Location: Castelão (Fortaleza)


	Ceará		Altos

	1	X	2
	1.25	5.25	11
	1.25	5	11	Watch
	1.23	5	9.5
	1.17	6.2	18.54
	1.17	5.5	13
	1.19	5.55	12.7	Watch
	1.23	5.2	11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.21 ↓ (1.45)	5.39 ↑ (3.95)	12.39 ↑ (7.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ceará
75.6%

Draw
17%

Altos
7.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.6%

23.3%

13.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.3%

22%

12.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ceará has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ceará's performance.

Altos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Altos might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceará than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ceará that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Altos than the current prediction. (+5%)

Ceará - Altos Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Fernando Miguel (G) 11. Aylon 7. Castro F. (C) 16. Erick Pulga 99. Guilherme Castilho 14. Lucas Ribeiro 79. Matheus Bahia 42. Matheus Felipe 2. Rai Ramos 28. Recalde J. 26. Richardson	1. Jhonathe Itallo de Sousa Matias (G) 4. Arlan (C) 6. Arthurzinho 10. da Silva Costa Junior V. 2. Guilherme L. 5. Hudson 8. Marcelinho 11. Rhuann 3. Ricardo 7. Rodrigo 9. Taumaturgo M.
Substitutes
31. Barcelo F. 94. Bruno Ferreira (G) 4. David Ricardo 77. Janderson 5. Jean 29. Joao Victor 55. Jonathan Jesus 21. Paulo Victor 1. Richard (G) 73. Saulo Mineiro	21. Adriano Napao 15. Alberte 18. Arielton 14. Brayann 19. Dhonata 17. Lucas Gomes 16. Lucas Manga 13. Mhaylon 12. Netinho (G) 20. Roger Gaucho

Preview

Ceará in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Altos is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Altos could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Altos have a series of home games.

In this match Ceará is the unquestionable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Ceará to win the game is with odds 1.44.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Ceará won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Ceará won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ceará SC
Brazilian Campeonato Cearense
08.02.24	Ceará - Caucaia	5:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
04.02.24	Juazeirense - Ceará	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Cearense
01.02.24	Ceará - Atlético Cearense	6:0 ✺
27.01.24	Ceará - Floresta	1:0 ✺
21.01.24	Maracanã - Ceará	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWWWT
- Associação Atlética de Altos
Brazilian Campeonato Piauiense
07.02.24	Ríver PI - Altos	0:2 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
04.02.24	Altos - Vitória Salvador	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Piauiense
31.01.24	Altos - 4 de Julho	2:1 ✺
27.01.24	Altos - Picos	1:1 ✺
20.01.24	Altos - Ríver PI	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
13.03.21	Altos - Ceará	0:0
09.02.19	Ceará - Altos	2:1

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