Match Info

BRAZIL: Cearense - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 2 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Estádio Almir Dutra (Maracanaú)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Canal GOAT


	Maracanã		Ceará

	1	X	2
	7	4.1	1.39
	8.71	4.08	1.38
				Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.86 ↑ (4.37)	4.09 ↑ (3.63)	1.39 ↓ (1.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maracanã
11.6%

Draw
22.4%

Ceará
66%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.2%

25.5%

53.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21%

25.2%

54%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maracanã has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Maracanã's form might have worsened.

Ceará has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ceará's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maracanã than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Maracanã, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceará than the current prediction. (-12%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ceará, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Maracanã - Ceará Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Rayr (G) 7. Davi Torres 5. Jair Berlitz 14. Jairo 6. Leandro Cerqueira 8. Michel Pires 10. Patuta 13. Rafael Mandacaru 11. Thales L. S. 4. Wendell 15. Wilker	94. Bruno Ferreira (G) 11. Aylon 70. Fabiano 77. Fernandinho 88. Fernando Sobral 97. Lourenco (C) 10. Lucas Mugni 3. Marllon 79. Matheus Bahia 40. Ramon Menezes 19. Romulo
Substitutes
25. Alan Ferreira 9. Bravo 3. Edimar 19. Hugo Freitas 2. Joao Carlos 18. Luan Lucas 21. Matheus Taumaturgo 27. Shider 17. Testinha 12. Vitor (G)	20. Diego 33. Eder 16. Fernando Miguel (G) 27. Galeano A. 80. Guilherme Luiz 22. Martinez A. 8. Matheus Araujo 30. Nicolas 9. Pedro Raul 28. Recalde J. 23. Willian Machado
Coaches
Junior Cearense	Leo Conde

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
27', Patuta ↓, Testinha ↑,
31', Fernandinho 🟨,
36', 0 - 1, Marllon ⚽, Lucas Mugni (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
47', 0 - 2, Pedro Raul ⚽,
58', Jair Berlitz ↓, Joao Carlos ↑,
64', Leandro Cerqueira ↓, Edimar ↑,
64', Thales L. S. ↓, Luan Lucas ↑,
90+1', 🟥,
90+3', 0 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

1st leg.

Maracanã is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Ceará is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Maracanã could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Ceará is absolute favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Maracanã won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3 (average 1:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Maracanã won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maracanã EC
Copa do Brasil
26.02.25	Maracanã - Ferroviário Fortaleza	2:1 penalties ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Cearense
23.02.25	Maracanã - Horizonte	1:0 ✺
16.02.25	Horizonte - Maracanã	2:3 ✺
08.02.25	Maracanã - Barbalha	4:1 ✺
02.02.25	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Maracanã	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWWWL
- Ceará SC
Copa do Brasil
19.02.25	Sergipe - Ceará	0:2 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
12.02.25	Ceará - Confiança	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Cearense
08.02.25	Fortaleza - Ceará	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
05.02.25	Ceará - CS Alagoano	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Cearense
02.02.25	Ceará - Barbalha	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Cearense
21.01.24	Maracanã - Ceará	1:1
28.01.23	Ceará - Maracanã	2:1

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