Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 33

Date: 4 May 2025, Sunday


	Ceares		Condal

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.9	3.7
	1.66	4.1	3.95
	1.53	4.38	4.16
	1.63	4.38	4.04	Watch
	1.51	4.4	4.79
	1.66	4.1	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↑ (1.54)	4.21 ↑ (4.07)	4.1 ↓ (4.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ceares
56.3%

Draw
21.6%

Condal
22.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.3%

22%

19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.5%

19.4%

22.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ceares has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Condal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceares than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Condal than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Ceares - Condal Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Condal (3.23) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Condal (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
33', 1 - 0, ⚽,
40', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
87', 🟥,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ceares won 2.

Recent performances by Ceares have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Condal has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Ceares is the team to beat.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Ceares won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 1.1:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Ceares won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UC Ceares
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
27.04.25	Sporting de Gijón B - Ceares	4:0 ✺
17.04.25	Urraca - Ceares	1:1 ✺
13.04.25	Ceares - Colunga	2:0 ✺
06.04.25	Covadonga - Ceares	1:0 ✺
30.03.25	Ceares - LEntregu	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LTWLT
- CD Condal
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
27.04.25	Condal - Colunga	1:1 ✺
16.04.25	Covadonga - Condal	5:0 ✺
13.04.25	Condal - LEntregu	0:1 ✺
06.04.25	Lenense - Condal	2:0 ✺
30.03.25	Condal - Avilés Stadium	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
22.12.24	Condal - Ceares	2:1
28.01.24	Condal - Ceares	2:0
08.09.23	Ceares - Condal	2:1
29.01.23	Condal - Ceares	1:0
25.09.22	Ceares - Condal	2:1
12.05.19	Condal - Ceares	0:1
23.12.18	Ceares - Condal	1:1

Ceares - Condal: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide