Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 32

Date: 27 April 2025, Sunday


	Condal		Colunga

	1	X	2
	2.83	3.62	2.1
	2.98	3.24	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.91 ↓ (3.85)	3.43 ↓ (3.65)	2.15 ↑ (1.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Condal
31.3%

Draw
26.5%

Colunga
42.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.7%

25%

51.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.8%

23%

47.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Condal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Condal's performance.

Colunga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Colunga might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Condal than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Condal that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colunga than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Condal - Colunga Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

(1 - 1)

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 10).

Condal is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Colunga is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Colunga could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Colunga is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Condal won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:5 (average 0.3:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Condal won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Condal
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
16.04.25	Covadonga - Condal	5:0 ✺
13.04.25	Condal - LEntregu	0:1 ✺
06.04.25	Lenense - Condal	2:0 ✺
30.03.25	Condal - Avilés Stadium	1:0 ✺
23.03.25	Mosconia - Condal	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLLWL
- CD Colunga
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
20.04.25	Colunga - Sporting de Gijón B	2:2 ✺
13.04.25	Ceares - Colunga	2:0 ✺
30.03.25	Colunga - Covadonga	1:1 ✺
23.03.25	LEntregu - Colunga	3:1 ✺
16.03.25	Colunga - Lenense	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 TLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
15.12.24	Colunga - Condal	3:0
21.01.24	Colunga - Condal	1:1
26.02.23	Condal - Colunga	0:1
23.10.22	Colunga - Condal	0:0

Condal - Colunga: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide