Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 29

Date: 6 April 2025, Sunday


	Lenense		Condal

	1	X	2
	1.87	3.2	3.7
	1.99	3.15	3.55
	1.99	3.14	3.59
	1.99	3.15	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↓ (1.99)	3.16 ↑ (3.15)	3.6 ↑ (3.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lenense
46.2%

Draw
28.6%

Condal
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.6%

28.9%

25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5%

27.7%

24.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lenense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Condal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lenense than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Condal than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Lenense - Condal Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, (Own goal),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
80', 2 - 0, Coutado P. ⚽,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 15).

Lenense has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Condal is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Condal could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Lenense will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Lenense won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1 (average 1:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Lenense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
29.03.25	Sporting de Gijón B - Lenense	3:0 ✺
23.03.25	Lenense - Ceares	1:2 ✺
16.03.25	Colunga - Lenense	4:0 ✺
09.03.25	Lenense - Covadonga	0:3 ✺
01.03.25	LEntregu - Lenense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LLLLT
- CD Condal
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
30.03.25	Condal - Avilés Stadium	1:0 ✺
23.03.25	Mosconia - Condal	2:0 ✺
16.03.25	Condal - Praviano	1:3 ✺
08.03.25	Roces - Condal	0:1 ✺
02.03.25	Condal - Lealtad	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
24.11.24	Condal - Lenense	1:1
25.02.24	Condal - Lenense	0:1

Lenense - Condal: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide