Match Info

Serie B Superbet - Round 1

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Castelão (Fortaleza)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Canal GOAT, Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, RedeTV!, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping


	Ceará		São Bernardo

	1	X	2
	1.49	4	6.25	Watch
	1.55	3.8	5.25
	1.55	3.8	5.9	Watch
	1.54	3.96	7.39
	1.49	4.11	6.64	Watch
	1.57	3.6	5.75
	1.55	3.72	6.25	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.56)	3.86 ↑ (3.73)	6.2 ↑ (5.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ceará
60.8%

Draw
24.2%

São Bernardo
15%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59%

24.6%

16.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.6%

24%

16%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ceará has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

São Bernardo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceará than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Bernardo than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	40%	0%

Ceará - São Bernardo Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Ceará will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ceará (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Richard (C) 2. Ramos R. 33. Eder 4. Luiz Otavio 17. Fernando 31. Lucas Lima 25. Vinicius Zanocelo 8. Matheus Araujo 29. Vina 98. Matheusinho 9. Wendel	1. Alex Alves (C) 2. Rodrigo Ferreira 5. Matheus Salustiano 97. Augusto 6. Para 26. Dudu Miraima 32. Rodrigo Andrade 17. Romisson 22. Pablo Dyego 10. Fabricio Daniel 7. Lucas Rian
Substitutes
94. Bruno Ferreira (G) 11. Fernandinho 63. Gilmar 81. Joao Gabriel 23. Jorge (G) 10. Juan Alano 18. Julio Cesar 99. Lucca 13. Luiz Otavio 40. Melk 26. Richardson 12. Sanchez	89. Daniel Amorim 27. Echapora 8. Foguinho 25. Gonzaga W. 21. Hugo Sanches 16. Jota 12. Junior Oliveira (G) 30. Junior Urso 90. Luizao 77. Marcao Silva 29. Pedrinho 11. Pedro Vitor
Coaches
Mozart	Ricardo Catala

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Vinicius Zanocelo (Penalty Awarded),
42', Rodrigo Andrade ↓, Marcao Silva ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Vina ↓, Fernandinho ↑,
52', Eder 🟨,
55', 1 - 1, Para ⚽, Lucas Rian (A),
63', Matheus Araujo ↓, Juan Alano ↑,
63', Wendel ↓, Lucca ↑,
63', Matheusinho ↓, Melk ↑,
64', Dudu Miraima ↓, Foguinho ↑,
64', Fabricio Daniel ↓, Echapora ↑,
64', Lucas Rian ↓, Pedrinho ↑,
74', Ramos R. ↓, Julio Cesar ↑,
82', Pablo Dyego ↓, Pedro Vitor ↑,
85', Lucas Lima 🟨,

Preview

Ceará is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

São Bernardo has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Ceará may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Ceará is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ceará won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Outrights of Brazilian Serie B for now

Sao Bernardo: 0.3% Ceara: 0.22%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Sao Bernardo	32	12	9	11	44:34	10	45
15	Ceara	31	10	9	12	34:39	-5	39

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ceará SC
Copa do Brasil
17.03.26	São Bernardo - Ceará	0:1 penalties ✺
12.03.26	Maranhão - Ceará	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Cearense
08.03.26	Ceará - Fortaleza	1:2 penalties ✺
01.03.26	Fortaleza - Ceará	1:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
26.02.26	Ceará - EC Primavera	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWLTW
- São Bernardo FC
Copa do Brasil
17.03.26	São Bernardo - Ceará	0:1 penalties ✺
10.03.26	Joinville - São Bernardo	0:1 ✺
25.02.26	São Bernardo - Atlético de Alagoinhas	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
15.02.26	São Bernardo - Corinthians	0:1 ✺
07.02.26	Grêmio Novorizontino - São Bernardo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Copa do Brasil
17.03.26	São Bernardo - Ceará	0:1 penalties

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