Match Info

Copa Betano do Brasil - 1/64-finals

Date: 10 March 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Arena Joinville (Joinville) 🌤️ ...


	Joinville		São Bernardo

	1	X	2
	3.7	3.2	2.01
	3.7	2.98	2.08
	3.3	3.05	2.06
	3.59	2.95	2.18	Watch
	3.8	2.9	2.05
	3.94	3.04	2.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.67 ↓ (4.35)	3.02 ↑ (2.94)	2.07 ↑ (1.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Joinville
25.1%

Draw
30.5%

São Bernardo
44.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

21%

31.1%

47.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.4%

30.2%

49.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Joinville has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

São Bernardo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joinville than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Bernardo than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	28.6%	71.4%

Joinville - São Bernardo Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. São Bernardo will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. São Bernardo (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Joinville (2.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Joinville (votes: 1 - 50%). São Bernardo (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Thiago (G) 8. Felipe Para 10. Gabriel Terra 4. Gutieri (C) 7. Iago Dias 11. Joao Victor 9. Keke 6. Natanael 2. Toty 3. Vitao 5. Yalle	1. Alex Alves (G) 97. Augusto 10. Fabricio Daniel 9. Felipe Garcia (C) 28. Joao Paulo 30. Junior Urso 77. Marcao Silva 5. Matheus Salustiano 6. Para 11. Pedro Vitor 2. Rodrigo Ferreira
Substitutes
23. Alyson 21. Erick Crispim 19. Fernando Neto 16. Gabriel Paris 18. Joel E. 22. Kaka 20. Klock J. 76. Maximiano V. (G) 17. Rickson 12. Rodrigo Bazilio (G) 14. Victor Oliveira 15. Vinicius R.	89. Daniel Amorim 26. Dudu Miraima 8. Foguinho 25. Gonzaga W. 21. Hugo Sanches 12. Junior Oliveira (G) 7. Lucas Rian 22. Pablo Dyego 29. Pedrinho 16. Pedro Vieira Ferraz J. 32. Rodrigo Andrade 17. Romisson

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
27', Joao Paulo 🟨,
37', Gabriel Terra 🟨,
37', Natanael ↓, Gabriel Paris ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
52', Pedro Vitor 🟨,
58', Pedro Vitor ↓, Lucas Rian ↑,
58', Junior Urso ↓, Dudu Miraima ↑,
69', Felipe Garcia ↓, Daniel Amorim ↑,
69', Fabricio Daniel ↓, Pablo Dyego ↑,
73', 0 - 1, Pablo Dyego ⚽,
77', Iago Dias ↓, Joel E. ↑,
77', Gabriel Terra ↓, Fernando Neto ↑,
83', Joao Paulo ↓, Romisson ↑,
87', Yalle ↓, Alyson ↑,
87', Felipe Para ↓, Klock J. ↑,

Preview

Joinville has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

São Bernardo has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

São Bernardo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, São Bernardo is considered a favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Joinville
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
06.03.26	Náutico Marcílio Dias - Joinville	2:0 ✺
27.02.26	Joinville - Figueirense	0:3 ✺
Copa do Brasil
24.02.26	Joinville - CS Alagoano	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
19.02.26	Carlos Renaux - Joinville	2:1 ✺
13.02.26	Joinville - Carlos Renaux	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LLWLW
- São Bernardo FC
Copa do Brasil
25.02.26	São Bernardo - Atlético de Alagoinhas	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
15.02.26	São Bernardo - Corinthians	0:1 ✺
07.02.26	Grêmio Novorizontino - São Bernardo	2:1 ✺
01.02.26	Red Bull Bragantino - São Bernardo	1:1 ✺
24.01.26	São Bernardo - Mirassol	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLLTL

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