Match Info

Copa Betano do Brasil - 1/128-finals

Date: 26 February 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Castelão (Fortaleza) 🌤️ ...


	Ceará		EC Primavera

	1	X	2
	1.45	3.75	7	Watch
	1.5	3.7	6.9	Watch
	1.46	3.98	6.8
	1.46	4.05	6.45	Watch
	1.44	3.7	7
	1.49	3.76	7.03	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.68)	3.82 ↑ (3.42)	6.86 ↑ (4.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ceará
62.6%

Draw
24%

EC Primavera
13.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

54.5%

26.8%

18.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.5%

25.4%

17.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ceará has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ceará's performance.

EC Primavera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and EC Primavera might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceará than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ceará that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for EC Primavera than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Ceará - EC Primavera Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Ceará (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Ceará will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Lucas Lima ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
89', 2 - 0, Wendell ⚽,
90+9', 2 - 1, Gabriel Poveda ⚽,

Preview

Ceará has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Primavera's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Ceará may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Ceará is the team to beat.

We predict that Ceará will win today's game, with odds of 1.62.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ceará SC
Brazilian Campeonato Cearense
22.02.26	Ceará - Floresta	4:0 ✺
15.02.26	Floresta - Ceará	0:3 ✺
08.02.26	Ceará - Fortaleza	0:0 ✺
01.02.26	Ceará - Horizonte	4:0 ✺
25.01.26	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Ceará	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWTWW
- EC Primavera
Copa do Brasil
18.02.26	Araguaína - EC Primavera	0:3 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
15.02.26	EC Primavera - EC Noroeste	3:3 ✺
07.02.26	São Paulo - EC Primavera	2:1 ✺
31.01.26	EC Primavera - Portuguesa	1:2 ✺
25.01.26	Capivariano - EC Primavera	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WTLLW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ceará SC
Brazilian Serie B
02.11.26	Athletic Club - Ceará	✺

Ceará - EC Primavera