The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
São Paulo U20 33.1%
Draw 37.3%
Palmeiras U20 29.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
37.5%
28.8%
33.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39%
30%
32.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
São Paulo U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
Palmeiras U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Paulo U20 than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for São Paulo U20, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palmeiras U20 than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
São Paulo U20 - Palmeiras U20 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
8', 0 - 1, ⚽,
42', 0 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
63', 1 - 2, ⚽,
65', 2 - 2, ⚽,
70', 2 - 3, ⚽,
Preview
First leg.
One of the standout fixtures of the round, featuring two top-tier sides (ranked 2nd in the Promotion - Paulista U20 Playoffs - 1/16 - finals and 2nd in the Promotion - Paulista U20 Playoffs - 1/16 - finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, São Paulo U20 won 1.
In recent matches, both teams have secured multiple victories in strong fashion.
São Paulo U20 could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 12 head-to-head meetings, São Paulo U20 has recorded 4 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 19:23 (averaging 1.6:1.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for São Paulo U20 against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 12:14 goals (averaging 1.5:1.8 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
São Paulo U20 - the odds 2.38 are the expected chance of winning is 37.51%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.
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