Match Info

Date: 17 April 2022, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Ceilândia		Costa Rica

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Ceilândia
63.4%

Draw
22.9%

Costa Rica
13.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

48.9%

27.4%

23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.3%

28.7%

22.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ceilândia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ceilândia's performance.

Costa Rica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Costa Rica might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceilândia than the current prediction. (-12.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ceilândia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Costa Rica than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Costa Rica could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Recent matches Ceilândia is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Costa Rica is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ceilândia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Ceilândia is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ceilândia
Brazilian Campeonato Brasiliense
09.04.22	Ceilândia - Brasiliense	1:1 ✺
02.04.22	Brasiliense - Ceilândia	2:1 ✺
30.03.22	Ceilândia - Brasiliense	0:1 ✺
27.03.22	Gama - Ceilândia	0:1 ✺
23.03.22	Ceilândia - Capital CF Ltda	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TLLWW
- Costa Rica
Brazilian Campeonato Sul-Matogrossense
13.04.22	Costa Rica - Operário MS	1:1 ✺
10.04.22	Dourados - Costa Rica	1:5 ✺
06.04.22	Costa Rica - Aquidauanense	2:1 ✺
03.04.22	Naviraiense - Costa Rica	0:0 ✺
FIFA World Cup
30.03.22	Costa Rica - USA	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 TWWTW

Ceilândia - Costa Rica