Match Info

Serie D - Round 14

Date: 26 July 2025, Saturday

Location: Estádio Maria de Lourdes Abadia (Ceilândia)


	Ceilândia		Goianésia

	1	X	2
	1.49	3.75	5.5
	1.5	3.75	5.7
	1.51	3.85	5.94
	1.88	3.17	4.29	Watch
	1.46	3.68	7.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↑ (1.34)	3.64 ↓ (4.13)	5.69 ↓ (8.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ceilândia
58.6%

Draw
25.2%

Goianésia
16.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.8%

21.9%

10.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71%

20.9%

9.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ceilândia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ceilândia's form might have worsened.

Goianésia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Goianésia's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ceilândia than the current prediction. (+12.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ceilândia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Goianésia than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Goianésia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Ceilândia - Goianésia Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Goianésia (2.13) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Goianésia (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
40', 1 - 0, Cordeiro Nunes K. L. ⚽,
45+5', 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
71', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 7).

Ceilândia is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)

In recent matches, Ceilândia has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Goianésia's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Ceilândia is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ceilândia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ceilândia
Brazilian Serie D
20.07.25	Goiânia - Ceilândia	2:2 ✺
13.07.25	Capital CF Ltda - Ceilândia	2:2 ✺
05.07.25	Ceilândia - Luverdense	1:0 ✺
28.06.25	Ceilândia - Mixto	2:1 ✺
14.06.25	Aparecidense - Ceilândia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TTWWL
- Goianésia
Brazilian Serie D
19.07.25	Goianésia - Luverdense	1:1 ✺
12.07.25	Aparecidense - Goianésia	2:1 ✺
05.07.25	Goianésia - Goiânia	1:3 ✺
15.06.25	Capital CF Ltda - Goianésia	1:1 ✺
08.06.25	Goianésia - Mixto	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
20.04.25	Goianésia - Ceilândia	1:2

Ceilândia - Goianésia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide