The best margin for this event is 10.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Celaya 58.3%
Draw 25.2%
Cordobés 16.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
61.1%
22.3%
16.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
63.3%
21.5%
16%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Celaya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
Cordobés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Celaya than the current prediction. (+5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cordobés than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
Celaya - Cordobés Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
45', 1 - 0, ⚽,
45', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
67', 2 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
One of the top-ranked clubs faces a lower-table side fighting for vital survival points (ranked 3rd in the Promotion - Primera Premier Playoffs and 7th).
Celaya is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Cordobés has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Celaya could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this matchup, Celaya is considered the favorite to take the win.
No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.