Match Info

Primera Premier - Round 6

Date: 5 October 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished


	Celaya		Jaguares de Chiapas

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.55	3.53
	1.93	3.48	3.55	Watch
	1.88	3.25	3.45
	1.87	3.44	3.53
	2.5	3.1	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↑ (1.93)	3.36 ↓ (3.48)	3.27 ↓ (3.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Celaya
45.1%

Draw
27.1%

Jaguares de Chiapas
27.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

46.9%

26%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Celaya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Jaguares de Chiapas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Celaya - Jaguares de Chiapas Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Celaya will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Chiapas will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Celaya (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Celaya (3.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Celaya (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Navarrete B. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

An intriguing matchup between an upper-bracket team and a mid-table rival (ranked 3rd in the Promotion - Primera Premier Playoffs and 6th).

Celaya has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Celaya could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Celaya is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Celaya has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Celaya
Mexican Primera Premier
26.09.26	Deportiva Venados - Celaya	2:3 penalties ✺
19.09.26	Celaya - Montañeses	0:1 ✺
11.09.26	Chapulineros de Oaxaca - Celaya	1:1 ✺
05.09.26	Celaya - Tapachula Soconusco	2:0 ✺
29.08.26	Pioneros de Cancún - Celaya	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WLTWW
- Jaguares de Chiapas
Mexican Primera Premier
28.09.26	Jaguares de Chiapas - Racing de Veracruz	1:1 ✺
12.09.26	Deportiva Venados - Jaguares de Chiapas	2:0 ✺
05.09.26	Jaguares de Chiapas - Montañeses	2:3 penalties ✺
28.08.26	Chapulineros de Oaxaca - Jaguares de Chiapas	0:1 ✺
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
28.03.26	Jaguares de Chiapas - Chapulineros de Oaxaca	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
22.11.25	Jaguares de Chiapas - Celaya	0:1

Celaya - Jaguares de Chiapas