Match Info

Europa League - League phase - Round 2

Date: 15 October 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadion Z'dezele (Celje) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Masiyev E. (Aze)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	13:45	Disney+
Armenia	20:45	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, TOD
Australia	03:45	Stan Sport
Bosnia And Herzegovina	18:45	Arena Sport 3, Arena Sport 5
Canada	12:45	DAZN Canada
Chile	13:45	Disney+
Colombia	11:45	Disney+
Denmark	18:45	Disney+
Estonia	19:45	Go3 Extra Sports
Finland	19:45	Viaplay
France	18:45	Canal+ Live 14
Hong Kong	00:45	beIN SPORTS MAX
Iceland	16:45	Viaplay
Indonesia	23:45	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, Vidio
Laos	23:45	beIN Connect
Lithuania	19:45	Go3 Extra Sports
Malaysia	00:45	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Mexico	10:45	Claro Sports
New Zealand	05:45	DAZN New Zealand
Norway	18:45	Viaplay
Peru	11:45	Disney+
Philippines	00:45	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Portugal	17:45	DAZN / App
Russia	19:45	Okko Sport
Singapore	00:45	beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovenia	18:45	Sport TV1
South America	—	ViX Latin America
Spain	18:45	M+ Liga de Campeones 3, Movistar Plus+
Sweden	18:45	Disney+
Switzerland	18:45	Blue Sport 20, Blue Sport 20
Thailand	23:45	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	19:45	Tabii
Ukraine	19:45	MEGOGO Futbol 13
United Kingdom	17:45	HBO Max
Uruguay	13:45	Disney+
Usa	12:45	Paramount+
Venezuela	12:45	Disney+, Inter


	Celje		Omonia

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.4	2.25
	2.75	3.40	2.50
	3.2	3.35	2.32
	3.27	3.43	2.3
	3.17	3.37	2.3
	3.2	3.35	2.25
	3.33	3.46	2.21
	3.2	3.4	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.15 ↑ (2.37)	3.4 ↓ (3.45)	2.29 ↓ (2.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Celje
30.3%

Draw
28.1%

Omonia
41.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39.8%

27.4%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7%

28.7%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Celje has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Celje's form might have worsened.

Omonia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Omonia's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Celje than the current prediction. (+11.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Celje, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Omonia than the current prediction. (-10.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Omonia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
52.9%	29.4%	17.6%

Celje - Omonia Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Celje will win (votes: 9 - 52.9%). Omonia will win (votes: 3 - 17.6%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 29.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Celje: 29.2% – 76.6%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Omonia (1.42) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Omonia (1.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Omonia (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Leban Z. (G) 44. Bejger L. 15. Zuzek Z. 6. Tutyskinas A. 11. Avdyli M. 91. Dukuly Y. 13. Daniel P. 19. Zabukovnik M. (C) 14. Ticic L. 10. Seslar S. 9. Kramer B.	40. Fabiano (C) 93. Duverne J. 5. Coulibaly S. 37. Satka L. 29. Balkovec J. 74. Andreou P. 22. Tankovic M. 14. Maric M. 11. Costa Ewandro 99. Diony L. 7. Montnor J.
Substitutes
20. Dionkou A. 23. Frelih Z. (G) 4. Hrka D. 77. Ivansek M. 12. Kolar L. (G) 33. Koutris L. 47. Kucys A. 8. Kvesic M. 31. Suhovrsnik D. 25. Tusha V. 7. Verbic B.	20. Brouwers L. 92. Christoforou P. 9. Kakoullis A. 1. Kaminski T. (G) 90. Konstantinidis C. 96. Kounounis A. 21. Mayambela M. 78. Michail P. (G) 77. Nego L. 85. Neofytou A. 27. Simic S. 17. Tanase F.
Coaches
Zeljkovic Z.	Berg H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
13', Tutyskinas A. 🟨,
16', 0 - 1, Montnor J. ⚽, Costa Ewandro (A),
33', Bejger L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Ticic L. ↓, Kvesic M. ↑,
52', Kvesic M. 🟨,
59', 0 - 2, Tankovic M. ⚽, Duverne J. (A),
62', Bejger L. ↓, Dionkou A. ↑,
62', Dukuly Y. ↓, Verbic B. ↑,
62', Daniel P. ↓, Kucys A. ↑,
69', Diony L. ↓, Kakoullis A. ↑,
69', Tankovic M. ↓, Tanase F. ↑,
69', Montnor J. 🟨,
73', Avdyli M. ↓, Koutris L. ↑,
75', Montnor J. ↓, Mayambela M. ↑,
82', Verbic B. 🟨,
83', Coulibaly S. 🟨,
84', 0 - 3, Coulibaly S. ⚽, Mayambela M. (A),
89', Costa Ewandro ↓, Nego L. ↑,
89', Coulibaly S. ↓, Simic S. ↑,

Preview

Celje is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Omonia is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

Confirmed absences for Celje: Pisek J. (Knee Injury).

Confirmed absences for Omonia: Eiting C. (Knee Injury) Kitsos F. (Knee Injury) Odubajo M. (Inactive).

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Standings

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Omonia	3	2	0	1	5:4	1	6
29	Celje	3	0	1	2	2:7	-5	1

Outrights of UEFA Europa League for now

Omonia: 0.74% Celje: 0.21%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Celje
Slovenian PrvaLiga
10.10.26	Celje - Aluminij Kidricevo	1:0 ✺
20.09.26	Mura - Celje	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
16.09.26	Bayer Leverkusen - Celje	2:0 ✺
Slovenian PrvaLiga
12.09.26	NK Bravo - Celje	2:1 ✺
06.09.26	Celje - Koper	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 WTLLL
- Omonia Nicosia
Cypriot First Division
09.10.26	Karmiotissa Pano Polemidion - Omonia	0:3 ✺
20.09.26	Omonia - Krasava Ypsonas	4:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
16.09.26	Omonia - Celta de Vigo	1:0 ✺
Cypriot First Division
12.09.26	Omonia - Apollon Limassol	0:0 ✺
07.09.26	Aris Limassol - Omonia	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WWWTW

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