Match Info

Europa League - League phase - Round 1

Date: 16 September 2026, Wednesday

Location: GSP Stadium (Nicosia)

Referee: Berke B. (Hun)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport Maximo 360
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 2
Armenia	Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 2, Sky Sport Mix
Azerbaijan	CBC Sport
Belgium	VOOsport World 1
Bolivia	ESPN 2
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 2
Bulgaria	Ring
Canada	DAZN Canada
Colombia	ESPN 2
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Omonia TV, Omonia TV, RIK 1
Czech-republic	Oneplay, Sport 1
Denmark	Disney+
Ecuador	ESPN 2
Estonia	Go3 Extra Sports
Finland	Viaplay
France	CANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 1
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2, Silk Sport 1
Germany	Sky Sport 1, Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top Event
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1, Now Player
Iceland	SÝN Sport
India	Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Ireland	Premier Sports 2 ROI
Israel	Sport 2
Italy	Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport Uno
Japan	Wowow Live
Kosovo	Arena Premium 1
Laos	beIN Connect
Lithuania	Go3 Extra Sports
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN
Moldova	We Sport
Netherlands	ESPN 2, Ziggo Go, Ziggo Sport 2, Ziggo Sport
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
North-central-america	RUSH Sports 1 Caribbean
North-macedonia	Arena Premium 1, TDM Desporto
Norway	Viaplay
Papua-new-guinea	TVWan Sports
Paraguay	ESPN 2
Peru	Disney+, ESPN 2
Poland	Polsat Sport Premium 2
Portugal	DAZN 2, DAZN / App
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1, Prima TV
Russia	Okko Prime, Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Singapore	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	Sport 1, Voyo
Slovenia	SportKlub 2
South-america	ViX Latin America
South-korea	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar Plus+
Sweden	Disney+
Switzerland	Blue Sport 8, Blue Sport 8, Sky Sport Mix, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Taiwan	ELTA Sports 3
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	HBO Max, TNT Sports 4
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	CBS Sports Network, Paramount+, TUDN App, TUDN
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 2, Inter


	Omonia		Celta de Vigo

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.5	1.8
	4.60	3.50	1.80
	4.5	3.45	1.88
	4.7	3.51	1.88
	4.52	3.48	1.86
	4.6	3.4	1.81
	4.66	3.57	1.87
	4.5	3.45	1.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.6 ↑ (4.06)	3.48 ↓ (3.57)	1.84 ↓ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Omonia
20.7%

Draw
27.4%

Celta de Vigo
51.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.2%

26.4%

50.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.2%

24.3%

46.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Omonia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Celta de Vigo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Omonia than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Celta de Vigo than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Celta de Vigo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.2%	14.3%	77.6%

Omonia - Celta de Vigo Predictions

Users Predictions: 49 users predict this event. Omonia will win (votes: 4 - 8.2%). Celta will win (votes: 38 - 77.6%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Celta: 65.9% – 89.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Omonia (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Celta (votes: 4 - 50%). Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Celta (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.75 - Omonia (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Omonia (1.98) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Omonia (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Celta (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Fabiano (C) 93. Duverne J. 5. Coulibaly S. 37. Satka L. 29. Balkovec J. 74. Andreou P. 14. Maric M. 11. Costa Ewandro 22. Tankovic M. 7. Montnor J. 99. Diony L.	13. Radu I. (G) 20. Rodriguez J. 2. Starfelt C. (C) 3. Alonso M. 15. Nunez A. 8. Roman M. 30. Burcio H. 5. Carreira S. 24. Driouech C. 11. Duran P. 9. Jutgla F.
Substitutes
20. Brouwers L. 92. Christoforou P. 82. Christou A. 9. Kakoullis A. 1. Kaminski T. (G) 90. Konstantinidis C. 21. Mayambela M. 78. Michail P. (G) 77. Nego L. 85. Neofytou A. 27. Simic S. 17. Tanase F.	23. Alvarez H. 1. Bayindir A. (G) 21. Caceres S. 4. Faye A. 14. Febas A. 22. Galan J. 16. Gonzalez H. 7. Iglesias B. 18. Lago Y. 6. Moriba I. 17. Rueda J. 19. Swedberg W.
Coaches
Berg H.	Giraldez C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', Jutgla F. ↓, Gonzalez H. ↑,
56', Driouech C. ↓, Swedberg W. ↑,
63', Tankovic M. ↓, Brouwers L. ↑,
68', Swedberg W. 🟨,
72', Duran P. ↓, Alvarez H. ↑,
72', Burcio H. ↓, Febas A. ↑,
75', Coulibaly S. ↓, Kakoullis A. ↑,
78', Nunez A. ↓, Iglesias B. ↑,
88', 1 - 0, Balkovec J. ⚽,
90+3', Costa Ewandro ↓, Tanase F. ↑,
90+4', Montnor J. ↓, Mayambela M. ↑,

Preview

Omonia has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Celta has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Omonia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Omonia has had a series of home games.

Celta might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Outrights of UEFA Europa League for now

Celta Vigo: 4.38% Omonia: 0.43%

Standings

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	Omonia	1	1	0	0	1:0	1	3
25	Celta Vigo	1	0	0	1	0:1	-1	0

Last Results with these Odds

Celta de Vigo - the odds 1.87 are the expected chance of winning is 50.43%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Omonia Nicosia
Cypriot First Division
12.09.26	Omonia - Apollon Limassol	0:0 ✺
07.09.26	Aris Limassol - Omonia	1:4 ✺
Cypriot Super Cup
03.09.26	Omonia - Paphos	0:1 ✺
Cypriot First Division
31.08.26	Omonia - Omonia Aradippou	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
27.08.26	Omonia - Sint-Truidense	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 TWLTW
- Celta de Vigo
Spanish LaLiga
13.09.26	Celta de Vigo - Málaga	1:1 ✺
07.09.26	Getafe - Celta de Vigo	1:1 ✺
03.09.26	Real Sociedad - Celta de Vigo	0:0 ✺
30.08.26	Celta de Vigo - Athletic Bilbao	0:2 ✺
27.08.26	Celta de Vigo - Osasuna	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 TTTLL

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