Match Info

EUROPE: Conference League - Qualification - Final

Date: 29 August 2024, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadion Z'dezele (Celje) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Ciochirca P. (Aut)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Armenia	22:15	1TV
Croatia	20:15	SportKlub 4
Slovenia	20:15	SportKlub 2
Ukraine	21:15	Sport 1, Sport 3
International	18:15	Sport 1 Baltic


	Celje		Pyunik

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.7	5	Watch
	1.68	3.5	4.5
	1.65	3.75	5	Watch
	1.74	3.77	5.27
	1.7	3.85	4.6	Watch
	1.78	3.84	4.7	Watch
	1.65	3.75	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (1.77)	3.74 ↑ (3.53)	4.87 ↑ (4.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Celje
55.4%

Draw
25.2%

Pyunik
19.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

52.8%

26.5%

20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.1%

29.7%

18.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Celje has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Pyunik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Celje than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pyunik than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.5%	9.5%	0%

Celje - Pyunik Predictions

Users Predictions: Celje will win (19 of 21 users predict this - 90.48%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.93% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Rozman M. (C) 2. Juanjo Nieto 3. Vuklisevic D. 81. Nemanic K. 23. Karnicnik Z. 10. Kouter N. 4. Dulca M. 8. Bobicanec L. 16. Kvesic M. 30. Edmilson 7. Matko A.	16. Avagyan H. (G) 97. Davidyan D. 95. Bratkov A. 79. Vakulenko S. 6. Juninho 22. Alemao 29. Cociuc E. (C) 66. Maia M. 14. Otubanjo Y. 21. Agdon 5. James
Substitutes
28. Bralic S. 77. Brnic I. 25. Kavcic M. 47. Kucys A. 31. Pisek J. 98. Stubljar L. (G)	44. Bravo J. 71. Buchnev S. (G) 8. Deble S. 10. Grigoryan A. 3. Hovhannisyan A. 7. Malakyan E. 32. Mikaelyan S. (G) 9. Paredes J. 4. Udo S. 33. Voskanyan T.
Coaches
Riera A.	Melikyan E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
11', James 🟥,
13', Nemanic K. 🟨,
22', 1 - 0, Nemanic K. ⚽,
23', Kvesic M. 🟨,
42', 2 - 0, Bobicanec L. (Pen),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
50', Kvesic M. 🟨,
57', Edmilson ↓, Pisek J. ↑,
63', 2 - 1, Cociuc E. (Pen),
71', Matko A. ↓, Kucys A. ↑,
74', 3 - 1, Kucys A. ⚽,
79', Cociuc E. ↓, Udo S. ↑,
79', Davidyan D. ↓, Deble S. ↑,
79', Maia M. ↓, Bravo J. ↑,
80', Otubanjo Y. ↓, Paredes J. ↑,
85', 4 - 1, Kucys A. ⚽, Bobicanec L. (A),
90+1', Bratkov A. 🟨,
90+3', Rozman M. 🟨,
90+4', Pisek J. 🟨,
90+5', Kucys A. 🟨,
90+5', Bravo J. 🟨,

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-1.

Celje is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Pyunik is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Celje could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Pyunik have a series of home games.

In this match Celje is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Celje won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Celje
Slovenian PrvaLiga
25.08.24	Celje - Primorje	0:3 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
22.08.24	Pyunik - Celje	1:0 ✺
Slovenian PrvaLiga
18.08.24	Olimpija Ljubljana - Celje	2:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
15.08.24	Shamrock Rovers - Celje	3:1 ET ✺
Slovenian PrvaLiga
11.08.24	Celje - Radomlje	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLTLW
- Pyunik Yerevan
UEFA Europa Conference League
22.08.24	Pyunik - Celje	1:0 ✺
Armenian Premier League
18.08.24	Pyunik - Alashkert	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
15.08.24	Pyunik - Ordabasy	1:0 ✺
08.08.24	Ordabasy - Pyunik	0:1 ✺
Armenian Premier League
05.08.24	Pyunik - Urartu Yerevan	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
22.08.24	Pyunik - Celje	1:0

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