Match Info

EUROPE: Conference League - Qualification - Final

Date: 22 August 2024, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Vazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium (Yerevan) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Bilbija L. (Bih)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Armenia	20:00	1TV
Slovakia	18:00	Arena sport 1


	Pyunik		Celje

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.2	2.8	Watch
	2.4	3	2.8
	2.5	3.1	2.85	Watch
	2.61	3.18	2.84
	2.52	3.25	2.78	Watch
	2.25	3.3	2.8
	2.52	3.34	2.94	Watch
	2.5	3.1	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↑ (2.39)	3.18 ↓ (3.27)	2.83 ↑ (2.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pyunik
37.8%

Draw
29.3%

Celje
32.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

38.7%

28.4%

32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

28.3%

32.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pyunik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

The chances for Celje have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pyunik than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Celje than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
69.6%	17.4%	13%

Pyunik - Celje Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Pyunik will win (votes: 15 - 68.2%). Celje will win (votes: 3 - 13.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pyunik: 48.7% – 87.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Avagyan H. (G) 77. Buhari S. 29. Cociuc E. (C) 14. Otubanjo Y. 66. Maia M. 79. Vakulenko S. 21. Agdon 15. Kovalenko M. 5. James 22. Alemao 6. Juninho	22. Rozman M. (C) 2. Juanjo Nieto 3. Vuklisevic D. 6. Zec D. 23. Karnicnik Z. 16. Kvesic M. 8. Bobicanec L. 10. Kouter N. 17. Aarons R. 30. Edmilson 70. Menalo L.
Substitutes
95. Bratkov A. 44. Bravo J. 71. Buchnev S. (G) 97. Davidyan D. 8. Deble S. 10. Grigoryan A. 3. Hovhannisyan A. 7. Malakyan E. 32. Mikaelyan S. (G) 9. Paredes J. 4. Udo S. 33. Voskanyan T.	28. Bralic S. 25. Kavcic M. 7. Matko A. 31. Pisek J. 98. Stubljar L. (G)
Coaches
Melikyan E.	Riera A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
41', Zec D. 🟨,
45+2', Otubanjo Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Menalo L. ↓, Matko A. ↑,
46', Aarons R. ↓, Pisek J. ↑,
60', 1 - 0, Buhari S. ⚽,
71', Pisek J. 🟨,
72', Agdon ↓, Paredes J. ↑,
72', Otubanjo Y. ↓, Deble S. ↑,
76', Edmilson ↓, Bralic S. ↑,
76', Karnicnik Z. ↓, Kavcic M. ↑,
80', Buhari S. ↓, Davidyan D. ↑,
89', Alemao ↓, Bravo J. ↑,
89', Maia M. ↓, Udo S. ↑,
90+3', Vakulenko S. 🟨,

Preview

1st leg.

Pyunik is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Celje is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Celje could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Pyunik have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pyunik Yerevan
Armenian Premier League
18.08.24	Pyunik - Alashkert	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
15.08.24	Pyunik - Ordabasy	1:0 ✺
08.08.24	Ordabasy - Pyunik	0:1 ✺
Armenian Premier League
05.08.24	Pyunik - Urartu Yerevan	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
30.07.24	Pyunik - Struga	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 LWWTW
- NK Celje
Slovenian PrvaLiga
18.08.24	Olimpija Ljubljana - Celje	2:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
15.08.24	Shamrock Rovers - Celje	3:1 ET ✺
Slovenian PrvaLiga
11.08.24	Celje - Radomlje	4:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
08.08.24	Celje - Shamrock Rovers	1:0 ✺
Slovenian PrvaLiga
03.08.24	Mura - Celje	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TLWWL

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