Match Info

Conference League - League phase - Round 2

Date: 23 October 2025, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Tallaght Stadium (Dublin) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Berka O. (Cze)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	16:00	Disney+
Armenia	23:00	Fast Sports
Australia	06:00	Stan Sport
Austria	21:00	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1
Chile	16:00	Disney+
China	03:00	ZhiBo8
Colombia	14:00	Disney+
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go
Denmark	21:00	Disney+
Finland	22:00	Viaplay
France	21:00	Canal+ Live 15
Germany	21:00	RTL+
Greece	22:00	ANT 1+
Hong Kong	03:00	beIN SPORTS MAX
Iceland	19:00	Viaplay
Indonesia	02:00	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Ireland	20:00	Premier Sports 1 ROI
Laos	02:00	beIN Connect
Malaysia	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Norway	21:00	Viaplay
Peru	14:00	Disney+
Philippines	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Russia	22:00	Okko Sport
Singapore	03:00	beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovenia	21:00	Sport TV1
South America	—	ViX Latin America
Spain	21:00	M+ Liga de Campeones 16
Sweden	21:00	Disney+
Thailand	02:00	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Ukraine	22:00	MEGOGO Futbol 19
United Kingdom	20:00	Amazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 5
Uruguay	16:00	Disney+
Usa	15:00	Paramount+
Venezuela	15:00	Disney+
Vietnam	02:00	ON Plus


	Shamrock Rovers		Celje

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.6	2.15
	3.2	3.55	2.08
	3.32	3.63	2.21
	23.89	11.35	1.07	Watch
	3.31	3.66	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.38 ↑ (3.62)	5.16 ↑ (3.32)	1.93 ↓ (2.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shamrock Rovers
16%

Draw
22.9%

Celje
61.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

26%

28.4%

45.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.2%

27.6%

47%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shamrock Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Shamrock Rovers's form might have worsened.

Celje has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Celje's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shamrock Rovers than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shamrock Rovers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Celje than the current prediction. (-14.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Celje, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	12.5%	62.5%

Shamrock Rovers - Celje Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Shamrock will win (votes: 6 - 25%). Celje will win (votes: 15 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Celje: 43.1% – 81.9%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Shamrock (2.34) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Celje will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Shamrock (votes: 1 - 20%). Celje (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. McGinty E. (G) 6. Cleary D. 4. Lopes R. (C) 3. Matthews A. 27. O'Sullivan C. 23. Malley C. 17. Healy M. 7. Watts D. 2. Honohan J. 20. Gaffney R. 14. Mandroiu D.	1. Leban Z. (G) 23. Karnicnik Z. (C) 2. Juanjo Nieto 6. Tutyskinas A. 44. Bejger L. 4. Hrka D. 8. Kvesic M. 71. Lisakovich V. 10. Sturm D. 20. Iosifov N. 9. Kovacevic F.
Substitutes
22. Barrett C. 10. Burke G. 18. Clarke T. 5. Grace L. 38. Kovalevskis M. 8. McEneff A. 88. McGovern J. 41. Noonan A. (G) 31. Noonan M. 15. Nugent D. 25. Steacy L. (G)	11. Avdyli M. 42. Boben M. 13. Daniel P. 7. Jevsenak F. 12. Kolar L. (G) 99. Poplatnik M. 94. Pozeg R. 16. Vidovic I. 5. Vodeb G. 3. Vuklisevic D. 25. Zorko T. (G)
Coaches
Bradley S.	Riera A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
33', 0 - 1, Kvesic M. ⚽,
39', Lopes R. 🟨,
40', 0 - 2, Kovacevic F. ⚽, Bejger L. (A),
43', Hrka D. 🟨,
45+2', Honohan J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Lisakovich V. ↓, Avdyli M. ↑,
55', Hrka D. ↓, Daniel P. ↑,
58', Mandroiu D. ↓, Burke G. ↑,
58', Matthews A. ↓, Grace L. ↑,
62', Malley C. ↓, McEneff A. ↑,
79', O'Sullivan C. 🟨,
82', Gaffney R. ↓, Noonan M. ↑,
83', Watts D. ↓, McGovern J. ↑,
83', Kovacevic F. ↓, Poplatnik M. ↑,
83', Kvesic M. ↓, Vidovic I. ↑,
87', Sturm D. ↓, Pozeg R. ↑,
89', Daniel P. 🟨,

Preview

Shamrock has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Celje is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Celje may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Celje is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Celje: Kucys A. (Knee Injury) Sluga S. (Inactive) Zabukovnik M. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Shamrock: Grant D. (Inactive) Honohan J. (Inactive)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Shamrock won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Shamrock won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shamrock Rovers
Irish Premier Division
17.10.25	St Patricks Athletic - Shamrock Rovers	1:0 ✺
10.10.25	Shamrock Rovers - Shelbourne	0:1 ✺
Irish FAI Cup
05.10.25	Shamrock Rovers - Kerry	6:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
02.10.25	Sparta Prague - Shamrock Rovers	4:1 ✺
Irish Premier Division
26.09.25	Shamrock Rovers - Bohemians Dublin	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LLWLW
- NK Celje
Slovenian PrvaLiga
18.10.25	Celje - Olimpija Ljubljana	0:0 ✺
05.10.25	Radomlje - Celje	0:3 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
02.10.25	Celje - AEK Athens	3:1 ✺
Slovenian PrvaLiga
27.09.25	Celje - Maribor	3:0 ✺
21.09.25	Primorje - Celje	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
15.08.24	Shamrock Rovers - Celje	3:1 ET
08.08.24	Celje - Shamrock Rovers	1:0

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