Match Info

Serie D - Group A - Round 20

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday


	Celle Varazze		Gozzano

	1	X	2
	2.48	3.1	2.58
	2.45	3.26	2.65	Watch
	2.48	3.34	2.74
	2.42	3.2	2.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↑ (2.44)	3.23 ↓ (3.43)	2.66 ↑ (2.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Celle Varazze
37.2%

Draw
28.4%

Gozzano
34.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.1%

26.4%

36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9%

26.3%

36.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Celle Varazze has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Gozzano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Celle Varazze than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gozzano than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Celle Varazze - Gozzano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
3', 1 - 0, Balan G. ⚽,
30', 1 - 1, Pigato R. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
77', 2 - 1, Capra E. ⚽,
81', 🟥,
82', 3 - 1, Donaggio L. ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group A (Play Out: ) and 11).

Celle Varazze has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Gozzano has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Celle Varazze won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Gozzano	6	3	1	2	8:7	1	10
18	Celle Varazze	6	0	0	6	1:13	-12	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Celle Varazze
Italian Serie D - Group A
11.01.26	Club Milano - Celle Varazze	2:1 ✺
04.01.26	Celle Varazze - Ligorna	2:3 ✺
21.12.25	Celle Varazze - Imperia	2:2 ✺
14.12.25	Sestri Levante - Celle Varazze	2:1 ✺
07.12.25	Celle Varazze - Saluzzo	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLTLT
- AC Gozzano
Italian Serie D - Group A
11.01.26	Gozzano - NovaRomentin	2:0 ✺
04.01.26	Asti - Gozzano	0:0 ✺
21.12.25	Cairese - Gozzano	1:1 ✺
14.12.25	Gozzano - Biellese	0:4 ✺
07.12.25	Chisola - Gozzano	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WTTLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group A
20.09.25	Gozzano - Celle Varazze	1:2

Celle Varazze - Gozzano: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide