Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A - Round 17

Date: 7 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Municipal Celorico De Basto (Celorico de Basto)


	Celoricense		Mirandela

	1	X	2
	1.44	3.75	6.7
	1.42	3.73	7.31
	1.42	3.9	7.47	Watch
	1.42	4.18	7.32
	1.38	3.8	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.66)	3.87 ↑ (3.33)	7.36 ↑ (4.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Celoricense
64.2%

Draw
23.5%

Mirandela
12.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.1%

27%

18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.3%

26.4%

18.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Celoricense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Celoricense's performance.

Mirandela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mirandela might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Celoricense than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Celoricense that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mirandela than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mirandela could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Celoricense - Mirandela Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Celoricense (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Celoricense (1.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Celoricense (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
87', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 5 and 10 in the zone Relegation).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Celoricense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Celoricense is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Celoricense won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Celoricense	4	2	1	1	3:2	1	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Celoricense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
31.01.26	Machico - Celoricense	1:0 ✺
25.01.26	Ribeira Brava - Celoricense	0:3 ✺
17.01.26	Bragança - Celoricense	1:1 ✺
11.01.26	Celoricense - Vilaverdense	1:1 ✺
21.12.25	Celoricense - Camacha	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LWTTW
- SC Mirandela
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
25.01.26	Mirandela - Vilaverdense	0:2 ✺
17.01.26	Camacha - Mirandela	1:0 ✺
10.01.26	Mirandela - Machico	2:0 ✺
21.12.25	Mirandela - Brito	1:0 ✺
14.12.25	São Martinho - Mirandela	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
14.09.25	Mirandela - Celoricense	0:1

Celoricense - Mirandela: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide